Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers on September 13, driven by regional moisture and weak southerly flow, which limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s °C. Multiple model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS converge on highs near 24–25 °C, with 26 °C possible only if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation. This explains the tight market distribution, with 25 °C holding a modest lead as the consensus outcome while 23 °C and 26 °C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Historical September baselines in the city average higher, but current synoptic conditions favor suppression of peak values. Final NMC or local observations will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 13 сентября?
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
26°C 16%
23°C 12%
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
16%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
26°C 16%
23°C 12%
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
16%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers on September 13, driven by regional moisture and weak southerly flow, which limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s °C. Multiple model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS converge on highs near 24–25 °C, with 26 °C possible only if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation. This explains the tight market distribution, with 25 °C holding a modest lead as the consensus outcome while 23 °C and 26 °C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Historical September baselines in the city average higher, but current synoptic conditions favor suppression of peak values. Final NMC or local observations will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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