Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's September 12 high will peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with mid-September climatology where average maxima hover around 27°C. Stable high pressure and moderate humidity have suppressed stronger warming, keeping 30°C or higher probabilities low while elevating 28°C as the modal outcome. Hourly model guidance shows afternoon readings clustering between 28°C and 30°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with limited spread across runs explaining the tight market distribution between the top two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 12 сентября?
28°C 49%
29°C 42%
30°C 9%
27°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$34,820 Объем
НОВОЕ
$34,820 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
49%
29°C
42%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 42%
30°C 9%
27°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$34,820 Объем
НОВОЕ
$34,820 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$374 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,547 Объем
1%
27°C
$4,510 Объем
4%
28°C
$11,626 Объем
49%
29°C
$4,616 Объем
42%
30°C
$5,259 Объем
9%
31°C
$3,127 Объем
2%
32°C
$2,755 Объем
<1%
33°C
$625 Объем
<1%
34°C
$128 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$253 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's September 12 high will peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with mid-September climatology where average maxima hover around 27°C. Stable high pressure and moderate humidity have suppressed stronger warming, keeping 30°C or higher probabilities low while elevating 28°C as the modal outcome. Hourly model guidance shows afternoon readings clustering between 28°C and 30°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with limited spread across runs explaining the tight market distribution between the top two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$34,820Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's September 12 high will peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with mid-September climatology where average maxima hover around 27°C. Stable high pressure and moderate humidity have suppressed stronger warming, keeping 30°C or higher probabilities low while elevating 28°C as the modal outcome. Hourly model guidance shows afternoon readings clustering between 28°C and 30°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with limited spread across runs explaining the tight market distribution between the top two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$34,820Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's September 12 high will peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with mid-September climatology where average maxima hover around 27°C. Stable high pressure and moderate humidity have suppressed stronger warming, keeping 30°C or higher probabilities low while elevating 28°C as the modal outcome. Hourly model guidance shows afternoon readings clustering between 28°C and 30°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with limited spread across runs explaining the tight market distribution between the top two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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