Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?

Ended: сент. 13

сент. 16

сент. 17

сент. 18

Ended: сент. 13

сент. 16

сент. 17

сент. 18

60–61°F 99%

54-55°F 20%

49°F или ниже 1.0%

52-53°F 1.0%

Polymarket

$801 Объем

60–61°F 99%

54-55°F 20%

49°F или ниже 1.0%

52-53°F 1.0%

Polymarket

$801 Объем

49°F или ниже

$0 Объем

Нет

50-51°F

$30 Объем

Нет

52-53°F

$0 Объем

Нет

54-55°F

$15 Объем

Нет

56-57°F

$20 Объем

Нет

58-59°F

$412 Объем

Нет

60–61°F

$249 Объем

Да

62-63°F

$0 Объем

Нет

64-65°F

$0 Объем

Нет

66-67°F

$75 Объем

Нет

68°F или выше

$0 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and observational trends positioned 60-61°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s September 13 low due to persistent marine layer influence and light onshore flow limiting radiational cooling. Overnight temperatures stabilized in the upper 50s amid clear to partly cloudy skies and weak winds, aligning closely with the 56°F climatological normal while exceeding cooler historical analogs. Official SFO data recorded a 59°F minimum, reflecting these conditions without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement of heat loss. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus on these moderate thermal patterns ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$801
Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and observational trends positioned 60-61°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s September 13 low due to persistent marine layer influence and light onshore flow limiting radiational cooling. Overnight temperatures stabilized in the upper 50s amid clear to partly cloudy skies and weak winds, aligning closely with the 56°F climatological normal while exceeding cooler historical analogs. Official SFO data recorded a 59°F minimum, reflecting these conditions without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement of heat loss. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus on these moderate thermal patterns ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$801
Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Связанные

icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско в пределах 60–61°F 17 сентября?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско в пределах 60–61°F 17 сентября?

53%
Да
icon for Будет ли самой низкой температурой в Сан-Франциско 58-59°F 16 сентября?

Будет ли самой низкой температурой в Сан-Франциско 58-59°F 16 сентября?

87%
Да
icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско находиться в диапазоне 58-59°F 18 сентября?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско находиться в диапазоне 58-59°F 18 сентября?

57%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «60–61°F» с 100%, за ним следует «49°F или ниже» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?» — «60–61°F» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «49°F или ниже» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.