Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C maximum in Wellington on September 17 because official observations from MetService and airport stations recorded a daytime peak of exactly 15°C (59°F) under southerly flow with rain and gusty winds near 20–30 km/h. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF model guidance showing limited insolation due to persistent cloud cover and a cool marine airmass, keeping values within the typical mid-September range of 12–15°C. Near-100% implied probability reflects real-time station data closing the market window. A later unverified spike above 15°C or a station-specific discrepancy could theoretically alter resolution, though post-event verification by meteorological agencies makes such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 17 сентября?
15°C 100.0%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$57,344 Объем
$57,344 Объем
17 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Да
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C или выше
Нет
15°C 100.0%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$57,344 Объем
$57,344 Объем
17 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$261 Объем
Нет
10°C
$194 Объем
Нет
11°C
$449 Объем
Нет
12°C
$8,153 Объем
Нет
13°C
$10,169 Объем
Нет
14°C
$19,602 Объем
Нет
15°C
$11,415 Объем
Да
16°C
$5,141 Объем
Нет
17°C
$1,067 Объем
Нет
18°C
$494 Объем
Нет
19°C или выше
$399 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C maximum in Wellington on September 17 because official observations from MetService and airport stations recorded a daytime peak of exactly 15°C (59°F) under southerly flow with rain and gusty winds near 20–30 km/h. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF model guidance showing limited insolation due to persistent cloud cover and a cool marine airmass, keeping values within the typical mid-September range of 12–15°C. Near-100% implied probability reflects real-time station data closing the market window. A later unverified spike above 15°C or a station-specific discrepancy could theoretically alter resolution, though post-event verification by meteorological agencies makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$57,344Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C maximum in Wellington on September 17 because official observations from MetService and airport stations recorded a daytime peak of exactly 15°C (59°F) under southerly flow with rain and gusty winds near 20–30 km/h. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF model guidance showing limited insolation due to persistent cloud cover and a cool marine airmass, keeping values within the typical mid-September range of 12–15°C. Near-100% implied probability reflects real-time station data closing the market window. A later unverified spike above 15°C or a station-specific discrepancy could theoretically alter resolution, though post-event verification by meteorological agencies makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$57,344Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C maximum in Wellington on September 17 because official observations from MetService and airport stations recorded a daytime peak of exactly 15°C (59°F) under southerly flow with rain and gusty winds near 20–30 km/h. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF model guidance showing limited insolation due to persistent cloud cover and a cool marine airmass, keeping values within the typical mid-September range of 12–15°C. Near-100% implied probability reflects real-time station data closing the market window. A later unverified spike above 15°C or a station-specific discrepancy could theoretically alter resolution, though post-event verification by meteorological agencies makes such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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