High uncertainty in short-range forecast models is driving the near-even split between 11°C or below (50%) and 21°C or higher (49%) for São Paulo’s September 19 minimum. A passing cold front and variable subtropical high-pressure ridge create competing scenarios: strong southerly advection of cooler mid-latitude air could push overnight lows well below seasonal norms, while limited cloud cover and northerly flow may allow warmer boundary-layer temperatures to persist. Global models show notable spread in 850 hPa temperatures and surface wind direction over the next 24–48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of frontal passage. Official guidance from INMET and ensemble means will update ahead of the overnight period, directly informing trader reassessment of these tightly matched outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 19 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 19 сентября?
11°C или ниже 95%
21°C или выше 90%
16°C 47%
15°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
95%
12°C
14%
13°C
34%
14°C
33%
15°C
40%
16°C
47%
17°C
34%
18°C
34%
19°C
15%
20°C
15%
21°C или выше
90%
11°C или ниже 95%
21°C или выше 90%
16°C 47%
15°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$0 Объем
95%
12°C
$0 Объем
14%
13°C
$0 Объем
34%
14°C
$0 Объем
33%
15°C
$0 Объем
40%
16°C
$18 Объем
47%
17°C
$0 Объем
34%
18°C
$0 Объем
34%
19°C
$0 Объем
15%
20°C
$0 Объем
15%
21°C или выше
$100 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in short-range forecast models is driving the near-even split between 11°C or below (50%) and 21°C or higher (49%) for São Paulo’s September 19 minimum. A passing cold front and variable subtropical high-pressure ridge create competing scenarios: strong southerly advection of cooler mid-latitude air could push overnight lows well below seasonal norms, while limited cloud cover and northerly flow may allow warmer boundary-layer temperatures to persist. Global models show notable spread in 850 hPa temperatures and surface wind direction over the next 24–48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of frontal passage. Official guidance from INMET and ensemble means will update ahead of the overnight period, directly informing trader reassessment of these tightly matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Объем
$118Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in short-range forecast models is driving the near-even split between 11°C or below (50%) and 21°C or higher (49%) for São Paulo’s September 19 minimum. A passing cold front and variable subtropical high-pressure ridge create competing scenarios: strong southerly advection of cooler mid-latitude air could push overnight lows well below seasonal norms, while limited cloud cover and northerly flow may allow warmer boundary-layer temperatures to persist. Global models show notable spread in 850 hPa temperatures and surface wind direction over the next 24–48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of frontal passage. Official guidance from INMET and ensemble means will update ahead of the overnight period, directly informing trader reassessment of these tightly matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$118Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty in short-range forecast models is driving the near-even split between 11°C or below (50%) and 21°C or higher (49%) for São Paulo’s September 19 minimum. A passing cold front and variable subtropical high-pressure ridge create competing scenarios: strong southerly advection of cooler mid-latitude air could push overnight lows well below seasonal norms, while limited cloud cover and northerly flow may allow warmer boundary-layer temperatures to persist. Global models show notable spread in 850 hPa temperatures and surface wind direction over the next 24–48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of frontal passage. Official guidance from INMET and ensemble means will update ahead of the overnight period, directly informing trader reassessment of these tightly matched outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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