Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a Sunday night low near 77–78°F for Dallas, establishing the primary driver behind market-implied odds that cluster around 76–81°F. Southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies support this range, while minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any evening thunderstorm remnants could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 69°F, underscoring how persistent warmth this week has elevated trader consensus toward higher values. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs ahead of the calendar-day minimum will likely refine probabilities further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Далласе 20 сентября?
78–79°F 25%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 19%
69°F или ниже
4%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
21%
78–79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F или выше
5%
78–79°F 25%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 19%
69°F или ниже
4%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
21%
78–79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a Sunday night low near 77–78°F for Dallas, establishing the primary driver behind market-implied odds that cluster around 76–81°F. Southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies support this range, while minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any evening thunderstorm remnants could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 69°F, underscoring how persistent warmth this week has elevated trader consensus toward higher values. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs ahead of the calendar-day minimum will likely refine probabilities further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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