Official meteorological observations confirmed a maximum temperature of 21°C or below in São Paulo on September 20, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers—part of the month's record rainfall totals exceeding historical averages by multiples—suppressed daytime heating under a stable atmospheric pattern. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late September, when cooler, wetter conditions often prevail before spring warming. Traders priced in these verified conditions from monitoring agencies rather than model projections. An unexpected upward revision in station data or use of a non-standard measurement site could theoretically alter resolution, though such shifts remain rare given standardized protocols.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 20 сентября?
21°C или ниже 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$41,123 Объем
$41,123 Объем
21°C или ниже
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
21°C или ниже 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$41,123 Объем
$41,123 Объем
21°C или ниже
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations confirmed a maximum temperature of 21°C or below in São Paulo on September 20, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers—part of the month's record rainfall totals exceeding historical averages by multiples—suppressed daytime heating under a stable atmospheric pattern. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late September, when cooler, wetter conditions often prevail before spring warming. Traders priced in these verified conditions from monitoring agencies rather than model projections. An unexpected upward revision in station data or use of a non-standard measurement site could theoretically alter resolution, though such shifts remain rare given standardized protocols.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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