A cold front and associated influx of cooler polar air have positioned Sao Paulo for notably suppressed temperatures on September 22, with official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicating a high near 22–24 °C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and light rain. This aligns with the market’s 87 % implied probability on 24 °C or below, reflecting model consensus on limited daytime heating under overcast skies and northerly-to-westerly flow. September climatology typically features highs near 23 °C, but recent frontal passages have kept readings several degrees below average, reducing the chance of brief warming. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs and official INMET observations, which will determine the daily maximum for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 22 сентября?
24°C или ниже 87%
25°C 6%
26°C 5%
27°C 4%
24°C или ниже
87%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
24°C или ниже 87%
25°C 6%
26°C 5%
27°C 4%
24°C или ниже
87%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A cold front and associated influx of cooler polar air have positioned Sao Paulo for notably suppressed temperatures on September 22, with official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicating a high near 22–24 °C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and light rain. This aligns with the market’s 87 % implied probability on 24 °C or below, reflecting model consensus on limited daytime heating under overcast skies and northerly-to-westerly flow. September climatology typically features highs near 23 °C, but recent frontal passages have kept readings several degrees below average, reducing the chance of brief warming. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs and official INMET observations, which will determine the daily maximum for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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