Persistent cool northeast flow following recent heavy rain and thunderstorms across the Chicago area has suppressed temperatures, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a mostly cloudy Tuesday high near 63°F and only a slight shower chance. This setup—driven by continued onshore winds off Lake Michigan and lingering cloud cover—explains the market’s tight clustering around the 58–65°F bins, where modest differences in wind speed, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, and traders appear to weigh model spread and potential for slightly cooler verification against official guidance. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 22 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 22 сентября?
60-61°F 36%
62-63°F 36%
64-65°F 35%
58-59°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
53°F или ниже
5%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
36%
62-63°F
36%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
9%
72°F или выше
6%
60-61°F 36%
62-63°F 36%
64-65°F 35%
58-59°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
53°F или ниже
$0 Объем
5%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
7%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
11%
58-59°F
$268 Объем
22%
60-61°F
$0 Объем
36%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
36%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
35%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
16%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
16%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
9%
72°F или выше
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cool northeast flow following recent heavy rain and thunderstorms across the Chicago area has suppressed temperatures, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a mostly cloudy Tuesday high near 63°F and only a slight shower chance. This setup—driven by continued onshore winds off Lake Michigan and lingering cloud cover—explains the market’s tight clustering around the 58–65°F bins, where modest differences in wind speed, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, and traders appear to weigh model spread and potential for slightly cooler verification against official guidance. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$268Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cool northeast flow following recent heavy rain and thunderstorms across the Chicago area has suppressed temperatures, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a mostly cloudy Tuesday high near 63°F and only a slight shower chance. This setup—driven by continued onshore winds off Lake Michigan and lingering cloud cover—explains the market’s tight clustering around the 58–65°F bins, where modest differences in wind speed, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, and traders appear to weigh model spread and potential for slightly cooler verification against official guidance. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$268Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cool northeast flow following recent heavy rain and thunderstorms across the Chicago area has suppressed temperatures, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a mostly cloudy Tuesday high near 63°F and only a slight shower chance. This setup—driven by continued onshore winds off Lake Michigan and lingering cloud cover—explains the market’s tight clustering around the 58–65°F bins, where modest differences in wind speed, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, and traders appear to weigh model spread and potential for slightly cooler verification against official guidance. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы