Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a September 20 high near 27°C in Qingdao under mostly sunny to cloudy skies with light to moderate southerly winds shifting northerly. Coastal location and autumnal moderation typically cap extremes, aligning with historical September averages around 26°C. Market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C likely reflect short-term model spread or expectations of warmer advection ahead of resolution criteria based on official station readings. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs over the coming 48 hours represent the key variables that could shift trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 20 сентября?
31°C 37%
32°C или выше 21.0%
30°C 19%
29°C 15%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
15%
30°C
19%
31°C
37%
32°C или выше
21%
31°C 37%
32°C или выше 21.0%
30°C 19%
29°C 15%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
15%
30°C
19%
31°C
37%
32°C или выше
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a September 20 high near 27°C in Qingdao under mostly sunny to cloudy skies with light to moderate southerly winds shifting northerly. Coastal location and autumnal moderation typically cap extremes, aligning with historical September averages around 26°C. Market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C likely reflect short-term model spread or expectations of warmer advection ahead of resolution criteria based on official station readings. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs over the coming 48 hours represent the key variables that could shift trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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