Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 18–19°C for Moscow on September 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime warming. This positions 18°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 17°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor ensemble spread in temperature and timing of any showers. Recent observations show a mild September pattern without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection, consistent with climatological norms for mid-month. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus heavily, as resolution occurs via official maximum temperature readings within hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 18 сентября?
18°C 49%
17°C 29%
19°C 14%
16°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
29%
18°C
49%
19°C
14%
20°C или выше
6%
18°C 49%
17°C 29%
19°C 14%
16°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$349 Объем
<1%
11°C
$31 Объем
<1%
12°C
$31 Объем
<1%
13°C
$31 Объем
<1%
14°C
$90 Объем
1%
15°C
$11 Объем
2%
16°C
$99 Объем
9%
17°C
$226 Объем
29%
18°C
$1,580 Объем
49%
19°C
$299 Объем
14%
20°C или выше
$523 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 18–19°C for Moscow on September 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime warming. This positions 18°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 17°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor ensemble spread in temperature and timing of any showers. Recent observations show a mild September pattern without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection, consistent with climatological norms for mid-month. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus heavily, as resolution occurs via official maximum temperature readings within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$3,270Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 18–19°C for Moscow on September 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime warming. This positions 18°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 17°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor ensemble spread in temperature and timing of any showers. Recent observations show a mild September pattern without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection, consistent with climatological norms for mid-month. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus heavily, as resolution occurs via official maximum temperature readings within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,270Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 18–19°C for Moscow on September 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime warming. This positions 18°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 17°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor ensemble spread in temperature and timing of any showers. Recent observations show a mild September pattern without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection, consistent with climatological norms for mid-month. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus heavily, as resolution occurs via official maximum temperature readings within hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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