Forecast consensus from models points to a Mexico City overnight low near 13–14°C on September 18, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation enabling efficient radiative cooling under moderate northerly flow and variable cloud cover. Light rain chances and humidity near 70–90% limit further drops, while clear spells could allow brief additional cooling. These conditions align with September climatology of 10–12°C average lows but reflect recent model runs showing slightly milder air masses. Traders price 13–14°C highest because small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed—often differing by 1–2°C across ensembles—directly determine whether the minimum settles at 13°C, 14°C, or edges toward 15°C or higher. Updated NHC and local forecasts will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мехико 18 сентября?
5°C или ниже 78%
14°C 41%
13°C 40%
7°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
78%
6°C
17%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
23%
13°C
32%
14°C
40%
15°C или выше
32%
5°C или ниже 78%
14°C 41%
13°C 40%
7°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$0 Объем
78%
6°C
$0 Объем
17%
7°C
$0 Объем
39%
8°C
$0 Объем
39%
9°C
$0 Объем
39%
10°C
$0 Объем
39%
11°C
$0 Объем
39%
12°C
$0 Объем
23%
13°C
$5 Объем
32%
14°C
$201 Объем
40%
15°C или выше
$12 Объем
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models points to a Mexico City overnight low near 13–14°C on September 18, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation enabling efficient radiative cooling under moderate northerly flow and variable cloud cover. Light rain chances and humidity near 70–90% limit further drops, while clear spells could allow brief additional cooling. These conditions align with September climatology of 10–12°C average lows but reflect recent model runs showing slightly milder air masses. Traders price 13–14°C highest because small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed—often differing by 1–2°C across ensembles—directly determine whether the minimum settles at 13°C, 14°C, or edges toward 15°C or higher. Updated NHC and local forecasts will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$218Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models points to a Mexico City overnight low near 13–14°C on September 18, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation enabling efficient radiative cooling under moderate northerly flow and variable cloud cover. Light rain chances and humidity near 70–90% limit further drops, while clear spells could allow brief additional cooling. These conditions align with September climatology of 10–12°C average lows but reflect recent model runs showing slightly milder air masses. Traders price 13–14°C highest because small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed—often differing by 1–2°C across ensembles—directly determine whether the minimum settles at 13°C, 14°C, or edges toward 15°C or higher. Updated NHC and local forecasts will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$218Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models points to a Mexico City overnight low near 13–14°C on September 18, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation enabling efficient radiative cooling under moderate northerly flow and variable cloud cover. Light rain chances and humidity near 70–90% limit further drops, while clear spells could allow brief additional cooling. These conditions align with September climatology of 10–12°C average lows but reflect recent model runs showing slightly milder air masses. Traders price 13–14°C highest because small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed—often differing by 1–2°C across ensembles—directly determine whether the minimum settles at 13°C, 14°C, or edges toward 15°C or higher. Updated NHC and local forecasts will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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