Market-implied odds cluster around 30–31°C for Beijing’s September 17 high because the latest global and regional model runs project a peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This outcome sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26°C, reflecting persistent warm advection and limited cloud suppression of daytime heating. Close probabilities between adjacent thresholds stem from typical forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and real-time surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 17 сентября?
31°C 30%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$617 Объем
<1%
26°C
$562 Объем
1%
27°C
$757 Объем
2%
28°C
$470 Объем
7%
29°C
$914 Объем
14%
30°C
$1,150 Объем
30%
31°C
$604 Объем
30%
32°C
$2,289 Объем
16%
33°C
$577 Объем
3%
34°C
$25 Объем
2%
35°C или выше
$627 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster around 30–31°C for Beijing’s September 17 high because the latest global and regional model runs project a peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This outcome sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26°C, reflecting persistent warm advection and limited cloud suppression of daytime heating. Close probabilities between adjacent thresholds stem from typical forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and real-time surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$8,280Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster around 30–31°C for Beijing’s September 17 high because the latest global and regional model runs project a peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This outcome sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26°C, reflecting persistent warm advection and limited cloud suppression of daytime heating. Close probabilities between adjacent thresholds stem from typical forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and real-time surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,280Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds cluster around 30–31°C for Beijing’s September 17 high because the latest global and regional model runs project a peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This outcome sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26°C, reflecting persistent warm advection and limited cloud suppression of daytime heating. Close probabilities between adjacent thresholds stem from typical forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and real-time surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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