Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 17, 2026, project a daily minimum near 19–21°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and limited radiative cooling overnight under moderate humidity levels. Market-implied odds clustering tightly between 16°C and 17°C reflect trader focus on potential downward revisions from official stations, where urban heat island effects or localized wind patterns can produce readings 1–3°C cooler than broader model consensus. Historical September averages place the typical low near 15.7°C, but recent clear-to-partly-cloudy transitions and stable high-pressure influence have supported milder conditions. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether boundary-layer cooling or measurement-site specifics shift resolution toward the lower outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 17 сентября?
17°C 99.5%
16°C 20%
14°C или ниже 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$1,474 Объем
$1,474 Объем
14°C или ниже
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C или выше
Нет
17°C 99.5%
16°C 20%
14°C или ниже 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$1,474 Объем
$1,474 Объем
14°C или ниже
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 17, 2026, project a daily minimum near 19–21°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and limited radiative cooling overnight under moderate humidity levels. Market-implied odds clustering tightly between 16°C and 17°C reflect trader focus on potential downward revisions from official stations, where urban heat island effects or localized wind patterns can produce readings 1–3°C cooler than broader model consensus. Historical September averages place the typical low near 15.7°C, but recent clear-to-partly-cloudy transitions and stable high-pressure influence have supported milder conditions. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether boundary-layer cooling or measurement-site specifics shift resolution toward the lower outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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