Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate a high of 29°C for Shanghai on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly to northeasterly winds under 10 km/h, and moderate humidity levels near 65-70%. These conditions limit daytime heating in the city's subtropical marine climate, where September averages hover around 28°C. Current observations show temperatures peaking near 28-29°C on September 17 with similar patterns expected to persist, producing the market's tight clustering around 28-29°C outcomes. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any weak frontal influences, while historical data confirms rare excursions above 31°C this late in the season absent strong high-pressure systems. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 18 сентября?
29°C 47%
28°C 34%
30°C 17%
31°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$13,768 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,768 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
34%
29°C
47%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 34%
30°C 17%
31°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$13,768 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,768 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$167 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,028 Объем
<1%
26°C
$489 Объем
2%
27°C
$1,793 Объем
3%
28°C
$4,226 Объем
34%
29°C
$2,711 Объем
47%
30°C
$1,194 Объем
17%
31°C
$868 Объем
3%
32°C
$770 Объем
<1%
33°C
$389 Объем
<1%
34°C или выше
$133 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate a high of 29°C for Shanghai on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly to northeasterly winds under 10 km/h, and moderate humidity levels near 65-70%. These conditions limit daytime heating in the city's subtropical marine climate, where September averages hover around 28°C. Current observations show temperatures peaking near 28-29°C on September 17 with similar patterns expected to persist, producing the market's tight clustering around 28-29°C outcomes. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any weak frontal influences, while historical data confirms rare excursions above 31°C this late in the season absent strong high-pressure systems. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$13,768Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate a high of 29°C for Shanghai on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly to northeasterly winds under 10 km/h, and moderate humidity levels near 65-70%. These conditions limit daytime heating in the city's subtropical marine climate, where September averages hover around 28°C. Current observations show temperatures peaking near 28-29°C on September 17 with similar patterns expected to persist, producing the market's tight clustering around 28-29°C outcomes. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any weak frontal influences, while historical data confirms rare excursions above 31°C this late in the season absent strong high-pressure systems. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,768Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate a high of 29°C for Shanghai on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly to northeasterly winds under 10 km/h, and moderate humidity levels near 65-70%. These conditions limit daytime heating in the city's subtropical marine climate, where September averages hover around 28°C. Current observations show temperatures peaking near 28-29°C on September 17 with similar patterns expected to persist, producing the market's tight clustering around 28-29°C outcomes. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any weak frontal influences, while historical data confirms rare excursions above 31°C this late in the season absent strong high-pressure systems. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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