Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and stations such as Xujiahui project a minimum temperature of 25°C for Shanghai on September 18, 2026, consistent with observed overnight readings near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity around 70-80%. This consensus arises from stable subtropical conditions with minimal diurnal cooling and no significant frontal passage or clear-sky radiative loss expected before midnight. Trader positioning at 97% implied probability for 25°C reflects alignment across multiple model ensembles and real-time observations. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day surge in northerly winds or rapid clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling below model guidance, though current data show low likelihood of such deviation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 18 сентября?
25°C 97%
24°C 3%
23°C 1.9%
22°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
97%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
25°C 97%
24°C 3%
23°C 1.9%
22°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$139 Объем
<1%
20°C
$139 Объем
<1%
21°C
$117 Объем
<1%
22°C
$180 Объем
1%
23°C
$1,852 Объем
2%
24°C
$3,767 Объем
3%
25°C
$3,474 Объем
97%
26°C
$41 Объем
<1%
27°C
$46 Объем
<1%
28°C
$94 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$89 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and stations such as Xujiahui project a minimum temperature of 25°C for Shanghai on September 18, 2026, consistent with observed overnight readings near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity around 70-80%. This consensus arises from stable subtropical conditions with minimal diurnal cooling and no significant frontal passage or clear-sky radiative loss expected before midnight. Trader positioning at 97% implied probability for 25°C reflects alignment across multiple model ensembles and real-time observations. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day surge in northerly winds or rapid clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling below model guidance, though current data show low likelihood of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$9,938Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and stations such as Xujiahui project a minimum temperature of 25°C for Shanghai on September 18, 2026, consistent with observed overnight readings near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity around 70-80%. This consensus arises from stable subtropical conditions with minimal diurnal cooling and no significant frontal passage or clear-sky radiative loss expected before midnight. Trader positioning at 97% implied probability for 25°C reflects alignment across multiple model ensembles and real-time observations. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day surge in northerly winds or rapid clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling below model guidance, though current data show low likelihood of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,938Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and stations such as Xujiahui project a minimum temperature of 25°C for Shanghai on September 18, 2026, consistent with observed overnight readings near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity around 70-80%. This consensus arises from stable subtropical conditions with minimal diurnal cooling and no significant frontal passage or clear-sky radiative loss expected before midnight. Trader positioning at 97% implied probability for 25°C reflects alignment across multiple model ensembles and real-time observations. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day surge in northerly winds or rapid clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling below model guidance, though current data show low likelihood of such deviation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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