**Recent model consensus points to a mild spring day in Wellington driven by northerly flow and limited cloud cover, keeping the daily maximum most likely between 14–15 °C.** Forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local models show highs near 15 °C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds, consistent with spring climatology where daytime temperatures often reach 13–15 °C. Small differences in the exact strength and timing of the northerly advection, residual cloud from prior fronts, or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1 °C, which is why the 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C outcomes trade so closely. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 18 сентября?
15°C 44%
14°C 40%
16°C 23%
17°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
31%
15°C
34%
16°C
23%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C или выше
1%
15°C 44%
14°C 40%
16°C 23%
17°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$16 Объем
<1%
10°C
$16 Объем
1%
11°C
$0 Объем
2%
12°C
$0 Объем
5%
13°C
$46 Объем
7%
14°C
$15 Объем
31%
15°C
$10 Объем
34%
16°C
$0 Объем
23%
17°C
$0 Объем
8%
18°C
$0 Объем
1%
19°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a mild spring day in Wellington driven by northerly flow and limited cloud cover, keeping the daily maximum most likely between 14–15 °C.**
Forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local models show highs near 15 °C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds, consistent with spring climatology where daytime temperatures often reach 13–15 °C. Small differences in the exact strength and timing of the northerly advection, residual cloud from prior fronts, or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1 °C, which is why the 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C outcomes trade so closely. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$102Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a mild spring day in Wellington driven by northerly flow and limited cloud cover, keeping the daily maximum most likely between 14–15 °C.**
Forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local models show highs near 15 °C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds, consistent with spring climatology where daytime temperatures often reach 13–15 °C. Small differences in the exact strength and timing of the northerly advection, residual cloud from prior fronts, or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1 °C, which is why the 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C outcomes trade so closely. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$102Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a mild spring day in Wellington driven by northerly flow and limited cloud cover, keeping the daily maximum most likely between 14–15 °C.** Forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local models show highs near 15 °C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds, consistent with spring climatology where daytime temperatures often reach 13–15 °C. Small differences in the exact strength and timing of the northerly advection, residual cloud from prior fronts, or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1 °C, which is why the 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C outcomes trade so closely. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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