Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high in Ankara on September 16 most likely between 23–25 °C, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest moisture that limits strong daytime heating. Recent observations show overnight lows near 14–16 °C with dew points in the 10–12 °C range, setting up modest diurnal ranges under stable high pressure near 1015 hPa. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September in the Anatolian plateau, where average highs hover near 24–26 °C, and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–24 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to extremes above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Анкаре 16 сентября?
23°C 32%
24°C 29%
25°C 23%
22°C 19%
НОВОЕ
$20,441 Объем
НОВОЕ
$20,441 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
19%
23°C
32%
24°C
29%
25°C
23%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C или выше
<1%
23°C 32%
24°C 29%
25°C 23%
22°C 19%
НОВОЕ
$20,441 Объем
НОВОЕ
$20,441 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$345 Объем
<1%
20°C
$452 Объем
<1%
21°C
$639 Объем
<1%
22°C
$4,166 Объем
19%
23°C
$4,675 Объем
32%
24°C
$3,076 Объем
29%
25°C
$3,253 Объем
23%
26°C
$2,141 Объем
1%
27°C
$1,168 Объем
<1%
28°C
$349 Объем
1%
29°C или выше
$176 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high in Ankara on September 16 most likely between 23–25 °C, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest moisture that limits strong daytime heating. Recent observations show overnight lows near 14–16 °C with dew points in the 10–12 °C range, setting up modest diurnal ranges under stable high pressure near 1015 hPa. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September in the Anatolian plateau, where average highs hover near 24–26 °C, and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–24 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to extremes above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$20,441Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high in Ankara on September 16 most likely between 23–25 °C, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest moisture that limits strong daytime heating. Recent observations show overnight lows near 14–16 °C with dew points in the 10–12 °C range, setting up modest diurnal ranges under stable high pressure near 1015 hPa. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September in the Anatolian plateau, where average highs hover near 24–26 °C, and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–24 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to extremes above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20,441Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high in Ankara on September 16 most likely between 23–25 °C, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest moisture that limits strong daytime heating. Recent observations show overnight lows near 14–16 °C with dew points in the 10–12 °C range, setting up modest diurnal ranges under stable high pressure near 1015 hPa. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September in the Anatolian plateau, where average highs hover near 24–26 °C, and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–24 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to extremes above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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