Current forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional guidance point to a São Paulo low near 13°C on September 17, driven by persistent low-to-mid cloud cover, easterly flow advecting maritime moisture, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the clear-sky temperature drops needed for readings at or below 8°C while also preventing the stronger warming that would push overnight minima to 18°C or higher. Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have kept trader probabilities closely split between the extremes and mid-range bins, reflecting model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official INMET observations as the night progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 сентября?
8°C или ниже 72%
18°C или выше 72%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
72%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
21%
12°C
23%
13°C
29%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C или выше
72%
8°C или ниже 72%
18°C или выше 72%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$0 Объем
72%
9°C
$0 Объем
39%
10°C
$0 Объем
39%
11°C
$0 Объем
21%
12°C
$0 Объем
23%
13°C
$0 Объем
29%
14°C
$0 Объем
22%
15°C
$0 Объем
39%
16°C
$0 Объем
39%
17°C
$0 Объем
39%
18°C или выше
$0 Объем
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional guidance point to a São Paulo low near 13°C on September 17, driven by persistent low-to-mid cloud cover, easterly flow advecting maritime moisture, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the clear-sky temperature drops needed for readings at or below 8°C while also preventing the stronger warming that would push overnight minima to 18°C or higher. Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have kept trader probabilities closely split between the extremes and mid-range bins, reflecting model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official INMET observations as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional guidance point to a São Paulo low near 13°C on September 17, driven by persistent low-to-mid cloud cover, easterly flow advecting maritime moisture, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the clear-sky temperature drops needed for readings at or below 8°C while also preventing the stronger warming that would push overnight minima to 18°C or higher. Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have kept trader probabilities closely split between the extremes and mid-range bins, reflecting model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official INMET observations as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional guidance point to a São Paulo low near 13°C on September 17, driven by persistent low-to-mid cloud cover, easterly flow advecting maritime moisture, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the clear-sky temperature drops needed for readings at or below 8°C while also preventing the stronger warming that would push overnight minima to 18°C or higher. Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have kept trader probabilities closely split between the extremes and mid-range bins, reflecting model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official INMET observations as the night progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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