Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on September 15, 2026, as southerly to southwesterly flow advects warmer, more humid air ahead of an approaching front. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and limit insolation, creating the main uncertainty between the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F market bins. Winds shifting west-northwest later in the day may cap further warming. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, but current guidance favors above-normal readings with precipitation chances around 60 percent. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will be the next key data points for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 15 сентября?
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
<1%
72–73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F или выше
<1%
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$388 Объем
<1%
72–73°F
$101 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$7 Объем
3%
76-77°F
$137 Объем
6%
78-79°F
$440 Объем
14%
80-81°F
$315 Объем
34%
82-83°F
$274 Объем
29%
84-85°F
$331 Объем
10%
86-87°F
$52 Объем
4%
88-89°F
$34 Объем
1%
90°F или выше
$360 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on September 15, 2026, as southerly to southwesterly flow advects warmer, more humid air ahead of an approaching front. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and limit insolation, creating the main uncertainty between the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F market bins. Winds shifting west-northwest later in the day may cap further warming. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, but current guidance favors above-normal readings with precipitation chances around 60 percent. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Объем
$2,440Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on September 15, 2026, as southerly to southwesterly flow advects warmer, more humid air ahead of an approaching front. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and limit insolation, creating the main uncertainty between the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F market bins. Winds shifting west-northwest later in the day may cap further warming. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, but current guidance favors above-normal readings with precipitation chances around 60 percent. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,440Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on September 15, 2026, as southerly to southwesterly flow advects warmer, more humid air ahead of an approaching front. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and limit insolation, creating the main uncertainty between the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F market bins. Winds shifting west-northwest later in the day may cap further warming. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, but current guidance favors above-normal readings with precipitation chances around 60 percent. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will be the next key data points for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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