**Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C as the day's high in Chengdu, with 80.5% implied probability, as real-time observations and model guidance show afternoon peaks near 24–25°C under cloudy, rainy conditions.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and local stations indicate a maximum around 24–25°C on September 16, 2026, with actual readings reaching 24.8°C amid light rain, high humidity (often 65–90%), and light northerly winds that limit further warming. Cloud cover and precipitation, typical for mid-September in the Sichuan Basin, have suppressed temperatures below clearer-sky potential, aligning with the seasonal average high near 25°C. The slim 17.5% chance for 26°C reflects residual model spread and any late-day clearing, while probabilities below 24°C or at 27°C+ remain negligible given current data. Updated NHC-style or local meteorological briefings later today could refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 16 сентября?
25°C 75%
26°C 20%
27°C 3.5%
28°C или выше <1%
$62,507 Объем
$62,507 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
75%
26°C
20%
27°C
4%
28°C или выше
1%
25°C 75%
26°C 20%
27°C 3.5%
28°C или выше <1%
$62,507 Объем
$62,507 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$494 Объем
<1%
19°C
$2,421 Объем
<1%
20°C
$3,071 Объем
<1%
21°C
$3,222 Объем
<1%
22°C
$3,829 Объем
<1%
23°C
$8,060 Объем
<1%
24°C
$14,637 Объем
<1%
25°C
$6,527 Объем
75%
26°C
$6,323 Объем
20%
27°C
$6,332 Объем
4%
28°C или выше
$7,590 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C as the day's high in Chengdu, with 80.5% implied probability, as real-time observations and model guidance show afternoon peaks near 24–25°C under cloudy, rainy conditions.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and local stations indicate a maximum around 24–25°C on September 16, 2026, with actual readings reaching 24.8°C amid light rain, high humidity (often 65–90%), and light northerly winds that limit further warming. Cloud cover and precipitation, typical for mid-September in the Sichuan Basin, have suppressed temperatures below clearer-sky potential, aligning with the seasonal average high near 25°C. The slim 17.5% chance for 26°C reflects residual model spread and any late-day clearing, while probabilities below 24°C or at 27°C+ remain negligible given current data. Updated NHC-style or local meteorological briefings later today could refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$62,507Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C as the day's high in Chengdu, with 80.5% implied probability, as real-time observations and model guidance show afternoon peaks near 24–25°C under cloudy, rainy conditions.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and local stations indicate a maximum around 24–25°C on September 16, 2026, with actual readings reaching 24.8°C amid light rain, high humidity (often 65–90%), and light northerly winds that limit further warming. Cloud cover and precipitation, typical for mid-September in the Sichuan Basin, have suppressed temperatures below clearer-sky potential, aligning with the seasonal average high near 25°C. The slim 17.5% chance for 26°C reflects residual model spread and any late-day clearing, while probabilities below 24°C or at 27°C+ remain negligible given current data. Updated NHC-style or local meteorological briefings later today could refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$62,507Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C as the day's high in Chengdu, with 80.5% implied probability, as real-time observations and model guidance show afternoon peaks near 24–25°C under cloudy, rainy conditions.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and local stations indicate a maximum around 24–25°C on September 16, 2026, with actual readings reaching 24.8°C amid light rain, high humidity (often 65–90%), and light northerly winds that limit further warming. Cloud cover and precipitation, typical for mid-September in the Sichuan Basin, have suppressed temperatures below clearer-sky potential, aligning with the seasonal average high near 25°C. The slim 17.5% chance for 26°C reflects residual model spread and any late-day clearing, while probabilities below 24°C or at 27°C+ remain negligible given current data. Updated NHC-style or local meteorological briefings later today could refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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