Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 97–100°F for Austin on September 18, with mostly sunny skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Persistent high pressure and dry mid-level air have sustained above-average temperatures through mid-September, keeping daily maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s after recent days that approached or tied records. This stable pattern underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 98–99°F bin, while the modest probability on 100–101°F reflects the small upside risk if mixing or insolation runs slightly stronger than expected. Low precipitation chances and limited model spread further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 18 сентября?
98-99°F 59%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
87°F или ниже
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
59%
100-101°F
15%
102–103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 59%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
87°F или ниже
$174 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$325 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$21 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$21 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$16 Объем
2%
96-97°F
$125 Объем
24%
98-99°F
$460 Объем
59%
100-101°F
$672 Объем
15%
102–103°F
$61 Объем
2%
104-105°F
$121 Объем
1%
106°F или выше
$188 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 97–100°F for Austin on September 18, with mostly sunny skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Persistent high pressure and dry mid-level air have sustained above-average temperatures through mid-September, keeping daily maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s after recent days that approached or tied records. This stable pattern underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 98–99°F bin, while the modest probability on 100–101°F reflects the small upside risk if mixing or insolation runs slightly stronger than expected. Low precipitation chances and limited model spread further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,182Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 97–100°F for Austin on September 18, with mostly sunny skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Persistent high pressure and dry mid-level air have sustained above-average temperatures through mid-September, keeping daily maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s after recent days that approached or tied records. This stable pattern underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 98–99°F bin, while the modest probability on 100–101°F reflects the small upside risk if mixing or insolation runs slightly stronger than expected. Low precipitation chances and limited model spread further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,182Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 97–100°F for Austin on September 18, with mostly sunny skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Persistent high pressure and dry mid-level air have sustained above-average temperatures through mid-September, keeping daily maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s after recent days that approached or tied records. This stable pattern underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 98–99°F bin, while the modest probability on 100–101°F reflects the small upside risk if mixing or insolation runs slightly stronger than expected. Low precipitation chances and limited model spread further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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