Recent official forecasts for Guangzhou on September 19 point to a high near 34–36 °C under partly cloudy skies with only modest rain chances, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 36 °C (43 %) and 37 °C (32.5 %). Persistent late-summer warmth, elevated dew points, and light northerly or easterly flow have maintained elevated surface temperatures through mid-September, while urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover in recent model runs allow daytime maxima to reach the mid-30s. Historical data show September 19 averages 31.7 °C with occasional peaks to 35–37 °C, and the current warm spell aligns with that upper range. Traders appear to price in modest upside uncertainty from variable insolation and boundary-layer mixing rather than a major cool-air intrusion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 19 сентября?
36°C 45%
37°C 32%
35°C 19%
34°C 5%
$10,706 Объем
$10,706 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
19%
36°C
45%
37°C
32%
38°C
3%
39°C или выше
1%
36°C 45%
37°C 32%
35°C 19%
34°C 5%
$10,706 Объем
$10,706 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
19%
36°C
45%
37°C
32%
38°C
3%
39°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Guangzhou on September 19 point to a high near 34–36 °C under partly cloudy skies with only modest rain chances, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 36 °C (43 %) and 37 °C (32.5 %). Persistent late-summer warmth, elevated dew points, and light northerly or easterly flow have maintained elevated surface temperatures through mid-September, while urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover in recent model runs allow daytime maxima to reach the mid-30s. Historical data show September 19 averages 31.7 °C with occasional peaks to 35–37 °C, and the current warm spell aligns with that upper range. Traders appear to price in modest upside uncertainty from variable insolation and boundary-layer mixing rather than a major cool-air intrusion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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