Marine layer persistence and onshore westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating across the San Francisco Bay Area on September 20, keeping maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s despite a seasonal average high near 71°F. Official forecasts from monitoring sources indicate a peak around 63°F under overcast skies with light winds, consistent with the market’s leading 66-67°F and 64-65°F bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. Historical September data show coastal sites frequently record 5–8°F below inland readings when stratus and marine influence dominate, limiting the chance of readings reaching 68°F or higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine whether any brief clearing allows modest warming before sunset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 20 сентября?
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 15%
68-69°F 13%
НОВОЕ
$16,456 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,456 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F или выше
<1%
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 15%
68-69°F 13%
НОВОЕ
$16,456 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,456 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
$731 Объем
1%
60-61°F
$548 Объем
3%
62-63°F
$2,537 Объем
15%
64-65°F
$3,429 Объем
30%
66-67°F
$1,568 Объем
41%
68-69°F
$1,689 Объем
13%
70-71°F
$1,526 Объем
10%
72-73°F
$1,960 Объем
3%
74-75°F
$2,241 Объем
1%
76-77°F
$105 Объем
<1%
78°F или выше
$121 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating across the San Francisco Bay Area on September 20, keeping maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s despite a seasonal average high near 71°F. Official forecasts from monitoring sources indicate a peak around 63°F under overcast skies with light winds, consistent with the market’s leading 66-67°F and 64-65°F bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. Historical September data show coastal sites frequently record 5–8°F below inland readings when stratus and marine influence dominate, limiting the chance of readings reaching 68°F or higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine whether any brief clearing allows modest warming before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Объем
$16,456Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating across the San Francisco Bay Area on September 20, keeping maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s despite a seasonal average high near 71°F. Official forecasts from monitoring sources indicate a peak around 63°F under overcast skies with light winds, consistent with the market’s leading 66-67°F and 64-65°F bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. Historical September data show coastal sites frequently record 5–8°F below inland readings when stratus and marine influence dominate, limiting the chance of readings reaching 68°F or higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine whether any brief clearing allows modest warming before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$16,456Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer persistence and onshore westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating across the San Francisco Bay Area on September 20, keeping maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s despite a seasonal average high near 71°F. Official forecasts from monitoring sources indicate a peak around 63°F under overcast skies with light winds, consistent with the market’s leading 66-67°F and 64-65°F bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. Historical September data show coastal sites frequently record 5–8°F below inland readings when stratus and marine influence dominate, limiting the chance of readings reaching 68°F or higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine whether any brief clearing allows modest warming before sunset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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