Recent forecast guidance from regional models places Shanghai's September 20 high in the narrow 28–30 °C range under partly cloudy to cloudy skies and light northeast winds of 7–12 km/h. Subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight split between 28 °C and 29 °C market prices, with traders weighting the risk of modest afternoon clearing that could allow an extra degree of warming. Low precipitation probability and stable subtropical high pressure limit larger deviations, while historical late-September averages near 29 °C anchor expectations. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 20 сентября?
28°C 48%
29°C 44%
30°C 8%
27°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$27,272 Объем
НОВОЕ
$27,272 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
48%
29°C
44%
30°C
10%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
28°C 48%
29°C 44%
30°C 8%
27°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$27,272 Объем
НОВОЕ
$27,272 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$595 Объем
<1%
26°C
$2,204 Объем
1%
27°C
$4,086 Объем
6%
28°C
$6,046 Объем
48%
29°C
$6,337 Объем
44%
30°C
$2,963 Объем
10%
31°C
$2,930 Объем
<1%
32°C
$1,403 Объем
<1%
33°C
$360 Объем
<1%
34°C
$145 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$203 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models places Shanghai's September 20 high in the narrow 28–30 °C range under partly cloudy to cloudy skies and light northeast winds of 7–12 km/h. Subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight split between 28 °C and 29 °C market prices, with traders weighting the risk of modest afternoon clearing that could allow an extra degree of warming. Low precipitation probability and stable subtropical high pressure limit larger deviations, while historical late-September averages near 29 °C anchor expectations. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$27,272Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models places Shanghai's September 20 high in the narrow 28–30 °C range under partly cloudy to cloudy skies and light northeast winds of 7–12 km/h. Subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight split between 28 °C and 29 °C market prices, with traders weighting the risk of modest afternoon clearing that could allow an extra degree of warming. Low precipitation probability and stable subtropical high pressure limit larger deviations, while historical late-September averages near 29 °C anchor expectations. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$27,272Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models places Shanghai's September 20 high in the narrow 28–30 °C range under partly cloudy to cloudy skies and light northeast winds of 7–12 km/h. Subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight split between 28 °C and 29 °C market prices, with traders weighting the risk of modest afternoon clearing that could allow an extra degree of warming. Low precipitation probability and stable subtropical high pressure limit larger deviations, while historical late-September averages near 29 °C anchor expectations. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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