Recent official forecasts and model consensus indicate a high of 16–18°C for Toronto on September 19, driven by increasing easterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a cooler air mass following the milder conditions of September 17–18. These factors suppress daytime warming below the 21°C seasonal average, with afternoon peaks expected near 17°C according to sources such as the National Weather Service equivalents and regional guidance. Trader sentiment reflected in the 49% and 38% implied probabilities for 18°C and 17°C aligns with this consensus, while lower odds for 19°C or above capture residual forecast spread from cloud timing and wind shifts. Updated model runs ahead of the daily maximum will refine the precise peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 19 сентября?
18°C 49%
17°C 38%
19°C 9%
16°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
38%
18°C
49%
19°C
9%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C или выше
1%
18°C 49%
17°C 38%
19°C 9%
16°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$55 Объем
<1%
13°C
$45 Объем
<1%
14°C
$10 Объем
2%
15°C
$20 Объем
2%
16°C
$107 Объем
6%
17°C
$353 Объем
38%
18°C
$836 Объем
49%
19°C
$157 Объем
9%
20°C
$361 Объем
4%
21°C
$155 Объем
1%
22°C или выше
$80 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus indicate a high of 16–18°C for Toronto on September 19, driven by increasing easterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a cooler air mass following the milder conditions of September 17–18. These factors suppress daytime warming below the 21°C seasonal average, with afternoon peaks expected near 17°C according to sources such as the National Weather Service equivalents and regional guidance. Trader sentiment reflected in the 49% and 38% implied probabilities for 18°C and 17°C aligns with this consensus, while lower odds for 19°C or above capture residual forecast spread from cloud timing and wind shifts. Updated model runs ahead of the daily maximum will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,176Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus indicate a high of 16–18°C for Toronto on September 19, driven by increasing easterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a cooler air mass following the milder conditions of September 17–18. These factors suppress daytime warming below the 21°C seasonal average, with afternoon peaks expected near 17°C according to sources such as the National Weather Service equivalents and regional guidance. Trader sentiment reflected in the 49% and 38% implied probabilities for 18°C and 17°C aligns with this consensus, while lower odds for 19°C or above capture residual forecast spread from cloud timing and wind shifts. Updated model runs ahead of the daily maximum will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,176Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus indicate a high of 16–18°C for Toronto on September 19, driven by increasing easterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a cooler air mass following the milder conditions of September 17–18. These factors suppress daytime warming below the 21°C seasonal average, with afternoon peaks expected near 17°C according to sources such as the National Weather Service equivalents and regional guidance. Trader sentiment reflected in the 49% and 38% implied probabilities for 18°C and 17°C aligns with this consensus, while lower odds for 19°C or above capture residual forecast spread from cloud timing and wind shifts. Updated model runs ahead of the daily maximum will refine the precise peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы