**Trader sentiment for Busan’s September 20 maximum temperature centers on 28–29°C, with market-implied probabilities of 35% and 47.5% respectively, reflecting expectations of efficient daytime heating under clear, stable conditions.** Multiple forecasts indicate mostly clear skies, northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances, which support strong solar insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing. Current model guidance clusters around 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), consistent with late-September climatology for Busan, where average highs hover near 25–27°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. The slight upward bias in trader positioning likely stems from uncertainty in official KMA station measurements, potential localized warming along the coast, or minor model spread in maximum temperature. With resolution tied to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s daily maximum at its Busan observatory, any late adjustments in guidance or observational micro-climate effects could shift outcomes between the tightly bunched 28°C and 29°C bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пусане 20 сентября?
29°C 47%
28°C 35%
30°C 12%
27°C 7%
$12,299 Объем
$12,299 Объем
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
35%
29°C
47%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 35%
30°C 12%
27°C 7%
$12,299 Объем
$12,299 Объем
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
35%
29°C
47%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Busan’s September 20 maximum temperature centers on 28–29°C, with market-implied probabilities of 35% and 47.5% respectively, reflecting expectations of efficient daytime heating under clear, stable conditions.** Multiple forecasts indicate mostly clear skies, northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances, which support strong solar insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing. Current model guidance clusters around 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), consistent with late-September climatology for Busan, where average highs hover near 25–27°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. The slight upward bias in trader positioning likely stems from uncertainty in official KMA station measurements, potential localized warming along the coast, or minor model spread in maximum temperature. With resolution tied to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s daily maximum at its Busan observatory, any late adjustments in guidance or observational micro-climate effects could shift outcomes between the tightly bunched 28°C and 29°C bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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