Traders assign the highest implied probability to a Denver high of 74-75°F on September 21, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for stable high pressure over the Front Range with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Recent Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs show consensus around seasonal norms near 75°F, with little expected influence from Pacific moisture or downslope warming that could push readings higher. Current surface observations indicate temperatures tracking close to long-term September averages, while ensemble spreads remain narrow ahead of the final 24-hour period. Any late-model shift in ridge strength or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Денвере 21 сентября?
74-75°F 44%
76-77°F 32%
72-73°F 16%
78-79°F 6%
63°F или ниже
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82°F или выше
<1%
74-75°F 44%
76-77°F 32%
72-73°F 16%
78-79°F 6%
63°F или ниже
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a Denver high of 74-75°F on September 21, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for stable high pressure over the Front Range with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Recent Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs show consensus around seasonal norms near 75°F, with little expected influence from Pacific moisture or downslope warming that could push readings higher. Current surface observations indicate temperatures tracking close to long-term September averages, while ensemble spreads remain narrow ahead of the final 24-hour period. Any late-model shift in ridge strength or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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