Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 87–88°F for Miami on September 19 amid scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms, establishing the narrow edge for the 88–89°F bin over 86–87°F in current market-implied odds. Persistent tropical moisture, elevated dew points near 75°F, and southeasterly flow promote widespread cloud cover and convective cooling that typically caps afternoon peaks in the upper 80s rather than allowing full insolation toward 90°F or higher. Light steering winds and sea-breeze interactions introduce minor uncertainty in exact timing of showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F depending on when heaviest rain develops. Traders weighting recent model runs and historical September analogs for similar setups have concentrated probability in these two adjacent bins while assigning lower odds to outliers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 19 сентября?
88-89°F 38%
86-87°F 34%
90–91°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82–83°F
2%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
38%
90–91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F или выше
<1%
88-89°F 38%
86-87°F 34%
90–91°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
$125 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$305 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$53 Объем
1%
82–83°F
$385 Объем
2%
84-85°F
$753 Объем
12%
86-87°F
$506 Объем
34%
88-89°F
$428 Объем
38%
90–91°F
$626 Объем
16%
92-93°F
$415 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$87 Объем
1%
96°F или выше
$87 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 87–88°F for Miami on September 19 amid scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms, establishing the narrow edge for the 88–89°F bin over 86–87°F in current market-implied odds. Persistent tropical moisture, elevated dew points near 75°F, and southeasterly flow promote widespread cloud cover and convective cooling that typically caps afternoon peaks in the upper 80s rather than allowing full insolation toward 90°F or higher. Light steering winds and sea-breeze interactions introduce minor uncertainty in exact timing of showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F depending on when heaviest rain develops. Traders weighting recent model runs and historical September analogs for similar setups have concentrated probability in these two adjacent bins while assigning lower odds to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,771Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 87–88°F for Miami on September 19 amid scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms, establishing the narrow edge for the 88–89°F bin over 86–87°F in current market-implied odds. Persistent tropical moisture, elevated dew points near 75°F, and southeasterly flow promote widespread cloud cover and convective cooling that typically caps afternoon peaks in the upper 80s rather than allowing full insolation toward 90°F or higher. Light steering winds and sea-breeze interactions introduce minor uncertainty in exact timing of showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F depending on when heaviest rain develops. Traders weighting recent model runs and historical September analogs for similar setups have concentrated probability in these two adjacent bins while assigning lower odds to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,771Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 87–88°F for Miami on September 19 amid scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms, establishing the narrow edge for the 88–89°F bin over 86–87°F in current market-implied odds. Persistent tropical moisture, elevated dew points near 75°F, and southeasterly flow promote widespread cloud cover and convective cooling that typically caps afternoon peaks in the upper 80s rather than allowing full insolation toward 90°F or higher. Light steering winds and sea-breeze interactions introduce minor uncertainty in exact timing of showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F depending on when heaviest rain develops. Traders weighting recent model runs and historical September analogs for similar setups have concentrated probability in these two adjacent bins while assigning lower odds to outliers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы