Persistent southwest monsoon flow combined with a trough of low pressure area is sustaining widespread cloud cover and isolated convective showers across Metro Manila, limiting surface insolation and capping daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 30–32 °C on 22 September, with the precise outcome hinging on the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms; earlier or more widespread rain favors the lower end of that range through enhanced evaporative cooling, while partial afternoon clearing could permit brief peaks near 33 °C. Historical September climatology shows similar monsoon-influenced days averaging 31–32 °C, and traders appear to be weighting the balance of these cloud-rain dynamics against the slim probability of stronger diurnal heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 22 сентября?
32°C 41%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
34°C 6%
$19,296 Объем
$19,296 Объем
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
41%
33°C
32%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
32°C 41%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
34°C 6%
$19,296 Объем
$19,296 Объем
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
41%
33°C
32%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Persistent southwest monsoon flow combined with a trough of low pressure area is sustaining widespread cloud cover and isolated convective showers across Metro Manila, limiting surface insolation and capping daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 30–32 °C on 22 September, with the precise outcome hinging on the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms; earlier or more widespread rain favors the lower end of that range through enhanced evaporative cooling, while partial afternoon clearing could permit brief peaks near 33 °C. Historical September climatology shows similar monsoon-influenced days averaging 31–32 °C, and traders appear to be weighting the balance of these cloud-rain dynamics against the slim probability of stronger diurnal heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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