**Recent PAGASA and global model guidance for Metro Manila points to overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 23 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, yet the closely matched market odds reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity keeps dew points elevated, narrowing the range of plausible minima. Historical September climatology shows averages around 26°C, but day-to-day shifts in rain timing or brief clear spells can alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest ensemble spreads and PAGASA’s 25–34°C daily range against potential model revisions expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Маниле 23 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Маниле 23 сентября?
21°C или ниже 67%
31°C или выше 67%
27°C 27%
26°C 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
67%
22°C
13%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
21%
29°C
12%
30°C
14%
31°C или выше
67%
21°C или ниже 67%
31°C или выше 67%
27°C 27%
26°C 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$100 Объем
67%
22°C
$40 Объем
13%
23°C
$0 Объем
20%
24°C
$0 Объем
21%
25°C
$0 Объем
22%
26°C
$0 Объем
25%
27°C
$0 Объем
27%
28°C
$0 Объем
21%
29°C
$100 Объем
12%
30°C
$100 Объем
14%
31°C или выше
$100 Объем
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent PAGASA and global model guidance for Metro Manila points to overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 23 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, yet the closely matched market odds reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity keeps dew points elevated, narrowing the range of plausible minima. Historical September climatology shows averages around 26°C, but day-to-day shifts in rain timing or brief clear spells can alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest ensemble spreads and PAGASA’s 25–34°C daily range against potential model revisions expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$440Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent PAGASA and global model guidance for Metro Manila points to overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 23 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, yet the closely matched market odds reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity keeps dew points elevated, narrowing the range of plausible minima. Historical September climatology shows averages around 26°C, but day-to-day shifts in rain timing or brief clear spells can alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest ensemble spreads and PAGASA’s 25–34°C daily range against potential model revisions expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$440Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent PAGASA and global model guidance for Metro Manila points to overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 23 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, yet the closely matched market odds reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity keeps dew points elevated, narrowing the range of plausible minima. Historical September climatology shows averages around 26°C, but day-to-day shifts in rain timing or brief clear spells can alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest ensemble spreads and PAGASA’s 25–34°C daily range against potential model revisions expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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