Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 22 project a minimum of 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light easterly winds, consistent with recent model consensus and typical late-September climatology. Persistent high pressure and weak monsoon flow have kept overnight lows near or above 27°C in recent days, limiting rapid cooling. The 50% market-implied probability on 22°C or below likely reflects trader focus on potential forecast revisions from additional shower activity or subtle wind shifts that could enhance nocturnal radiational cooling, while the clustering around 23–27°C outcomes captures the range of ensemble variability. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will provide key resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 22 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 22 сентября?
22°C или ниже 70%
27°C 49%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
70%
23°C
35%
24°C
35%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
49%
28°C
30%
29°C
35%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
1%
22°C или ниже 70%
27°C 49%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$0 Объем
70%
23°C
$0 Объем
35%
24°C
$0 Объем
35%
25°C
$0 Объем
40%
26°C
$0 Объем
39%
27°C
$0 Объем
49%
28°C
$0 Объем
30%
29°C
$0 Объем
35%
30°C
$0 Объем
1%
31°C
$0 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 22 project a minimum of 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light easterly winds, consistent with recent model consensus and typical late-September climatology. Persistent high pressure and weak monsoon flow have kept overnight lows near or above 27°C in recent days, limiting rapid cooling. The 50% market-implied probability on 22°C or below likely reflects trader focus on potential forecast revisions from additional shower activity or subtle wind shifts that could enhance nocturnal radiational cooling, while the clustering around 23–27°C outcomes captures the range of ensemble variability. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will provide key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 22 project a minimum of 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light easterly winds, consistent with recent model consensus and typical late-September climatology. Persistent high pressure and weak monsoon flow have kept overnight lows near or above 27°C in recent days, limiting rapid cooling. The 50% market-implied probability on 22°C or below likely reflects trader focus on potential forecast revisions from additional shower activity or subtle wind shifts that could enhance nocturnal radiational cooling, while the clustering around 23–27°C outcomes captures the range of ensemble variability. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will provide key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 22 project a minimum of 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light easterly winds, consistent with recent model consensus and typical late-September climatology. Persistent high pressure and weak monsoon flow have kept overnight lows near or above 27°C in recent days, limiting rapid cooling. The 50% market-implied probability on 22°C or below likely reflects trader focus on potential forecast revisions from additional shower activity or subtle wind shifts that could enhance nocturnal radiational cooling, while the clustering around 23–27°C outcomes captures the range of ensemble variability. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will provide key resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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