Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 point to a minimum of 26°C under fine, dry conditions sustained by a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone aloft, with easterly winds at force 4 occasionally 5. Clear skies favor radiative cooling overnight, yet persistent moderate flow and regional dryness limit sharper drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 25–26°C for mid-September. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, leaving traders focused on whether actual Observatory readings settle at 26°C or edge to 27°C amid minor variability in timing or local sheltering. The market’s near-even split between these two outcomes reflects this narrow forecast window ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 18 сентября?
21°C или ниже 42%
26°C 37%
29°C 31%
24°C 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
42%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
30%
25°C
19%
26°C
37%
27°C
39%
28°C
28%
29°C
31%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
1%
21°C или ниже 42%
26°C 37%
29°C 31%
24°C 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
42%
22°C
$0 Объем
28%
23°C
$0 Объем
28%
24°C
$0 Объем
30%
25°C
$0 Объем
19%
26°C
$3 Объем
37%
27°C
$166 Объем
39%
28°C
$0 Объем
28%
29°C
$0 Объем
31%
30°C
$0 Объем
1%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 point to a minimum of 26°C under fine, dry conditions sustained by a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone aloft, with easterly winds at force 4 occasionally 5. Clear skies favor radiative cooling overnight, yet persistent moderate flow and regional dryness limit sharper drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 25–26°C for mid-September. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, leaving traders focused on whether actual Observatory readings settle at 26°C or edge to 27°C amid minor variability in timing or local sheltering. The market’s near-even split between these two outcomes reflects this narrow forecast window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$168Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 point to a minimum of 26°C under fine, dry conditions sustained by a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone aloft, with easterly winds at force 4 occasionally 5. Clear skies favor radiative cooling overnight, yet persistent moderate flow and regional dryness limit sharper drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 25–26°C for mid-September. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, leaving traders focused on whether actual Observatory readings settle at 26°C or edge to 27°C amid minor variability in timing or local sheltering. The market’s near-even split between these two outcomes reflects this narrow forecast window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$168Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 point to a minimum of 26°C under fine, dry conditions sustained by a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone aloft, with easterly winds at force 4 occasionally 5. Clear skies favor radiative cooling overnight, yet persistent moderate flow and regional dryness limit sharper drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 25–26°C for mid-September. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, leaving traders focused on whether actual Observatory readings settle at 26°C or edge to 27°C amid minor variability in timing or local sheltering. The market’s near-even split between these two outcomes reflects this narrow forecast window ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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