**Latest official forecasts and numerical weather models for Shenzhen indicate a high of 31–32°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances, positioning these as the market leaders.** Persistent cloud cover reduces solar insolation and limits daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while typical late-September subtropical moisture and modest wind speeds further moderate peak temperatures near the long-term September average of about 31°C. Recent model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows little day-to-day shift, with only minor variations in timing of any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Trader-implied probabilities (31°C at 38.5%, 32°C at 25.5%) reflect this tight clustering around the forecast envelope, with lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ capturing residual uncertainty in cloud timing and local heat-island effects. Final resolution will depend on the highest verified reading from official stations tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 16 сентября?
31°C 39%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
27%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$244 Объем
<1%
26°C
$217 Объем
<1%
27°C
$217 Объем
1%
28°C
$364 Объем
3%
29°C
$341 Объем
8%
30°C
$529 Объем
19%
31°C
$750 Объем
39%
32°C
$1,870 Объем
27%
33°C
$1,446 Объем
7%
34°C
$943 Объем
3%
35°C или выше
$292 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts and numerical weather models for Shenzhen indicate a high of 31–32°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances, positioning these as the market leaders.**
Persistent cloud cover reduces solar insolation and limits daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while typical late-September subtropical moisture and modest wind speeds further moderate peak temperatures near the long-term September average of about 31°C. Recent model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows little day-to-day shift, with only minor variations in timing of any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Trader-implied probabilities (31°C at 38.5%, 32°C at 25.5%) reflect this tight clustering around the forecast envelope, with lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ capturing residual uncertainty in cloud timing and local heat-island effects. Final resolution will depend on the highest verified reading from official stations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$7,215Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts and numerical weather models for Shenzhen indicate a high of 31–32°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances, positioning these as the market leaders.**
Persistent cloud cover reduces solar insolation and limits daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while typical late-September subtropical moisture and modest wind speeds further moderate peak temperatures near the long-term September average of about 31°C. Recent model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows little day-to-day shift, with only minor variations in timing of any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Trader-implied probabilities (31°C at 38.5%, 32°C at 25.5%) reflect this tight clustering around the forecast envelope, with lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ capturing residual uncertainty in cloud timing and local heat-island effects. Final resolution will depend on the highest verified reading from official stations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,215Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts and numerical weather models for Shenzhen indicate a high of 31–32°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances, positioning these as the market leaders.** Persistent cloud cover reduces solar insolation and limits daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while typical late-September subtropical moisture and modest wind speeds further moderate peak temperatures near the long-term September average of about 31°C. Recent model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows little day-to-day shift, with only minor variations in timing of any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Trader-implied probabilities (31°C at 38.5%, 32°C at 25.5%) reflect this tight clustering around the forecast envelope, with lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ capturing residual uncertainty in cloud timing and local heat-island effects. Final resolution will depend on the highest verified reading from official stations tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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