**Recent model consensus points to a highest temperature of 26–28°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits daytime heating.** As of September 15, coastal Shandong stations are reporting daily maxima near 27–29°C under mostly clear skies with southerly winds of 3–4 m/s and dew points supporting moderate humidity. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows the ridge holding but with southeast winds strengthening to 5–7 m/s and cloud fractions rising to 50–80% on the 17th, which typically caps peaks 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Historical September climatology for Qingdao averages 25–27°C, placing the current setup near or slightly above normal. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader weighting of warmer deterministic runs and the narrow window for last-minute model shifts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 17 сентября?
28°C 41%
27°C 29%
29°C 15%
26°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
9%
27°C
29%
28°C
41%
29°C
15%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C или выше
3%
28°C 41%
27°C 29%
29°C 15%
26°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$243 Объем
1%
23°C
$156 Объем
1%
24°C
$159 Объем
2%
25°C
$0 Объем
3%
26°C
$12 Объем
9%
27°C
$156 Объем
29%
28°C
$588 Объем
41%
29°C
$14 Объем
15%
30°C
$26 Объем
6%
31°C
$34 Объем
3%
32°C или выше
$197 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a highest temperature of 26–28°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits daytime heating.**
As of September 15, coastal Shandong stations are reporting daily maxima near 27–29°C under mostly clear skies with southerly winds of 3–4 m/s and dew points supporting moderate humidity. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows the ridge holding but with southeast winds strengthening to 5–7 m/s and cloud fractions rising to 50–80% on the 17th, which typically caps peaks 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Historical September climatology for Qingdao averages 25–27°C, placing the current setup near or slightly above normal. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader weighting of warmer deterministic runs and the narrow window for last-minute model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$1,584Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a highest temperature of 26–28°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits daytime heating.**
As of September 15, coastal Shandong stations are reporting daily maxima near 27–29°C under mostly clear skies with southerly winds of 3–4 m/s and dew points supporting moderate humidity. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows the ridge holding but with southeast winds strengthening to 5–7 m/s and cloud fractions rising to 50–80% on the 17th, which typically caps peaks 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Historical September climatology for Qingdao averages 25–27°C, placing the current setup near or slightly above normal. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader weighting of warmer deterministic runs and the narrow window for last-minute model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,584Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a highest temperature of 26–28°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits daytime heating.** As of September 15, coastal Shandong stations are reporting daily maxima near 27–29°C under mostly clear skies with southerly winds of 3–4 m/s and dew points supporting moderate humidity. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows the ridge holding but with southeast winds strengthening to 5–7 m/s and cloud fractions rising to 50–80% on the 17th, which typically caps peaks 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Historical September climatology for Qingdao averages 25–27°C, placing the current setup near or slightly above normal. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader weighting of warmer deterministic runs and the narrow window for last-minute model shifts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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