Recent official forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on September 16, with maximum temperatures most likely near 29–30°C under northerly flow and clear skies following hotter conditions on the 14th and 15th. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 30°C (32%) and 29°C (20%), reflecting trader consensus on the expected daily high measured at the Retiro station. Key variables include the strength and timing of the northeasterly wind shift, which suppresses afternoon warming, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but recent ensemble spreads show limited probability for extremes above 32°C or below 28°C absent major forecast revisions before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 16 сентября?
29°C 40%
28°C 37%
30°C 29%
31°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
37%
29°C
40%
30°C
29%
31°C
21%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C или выше
<1%
29°C 40%
28°C 37%
30°C 29%
31°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
27°C
$0 Объем
5%
28°C
$0 Объем
37%
29°C
$0 Объем
40%
30°C
$163 Объем
29%
31°C
$54 Объем
21%
32°C
$0 Объем
16%
33°C
$0 Объем
8%
34°C
$0 Объем
5%
35°C
$0 Объем
2%
36°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on September 16, with maximum temperatures most likely near 29–30°C under northerly flow and clear skies following hotter conditions on the 14th and 15th. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 30°C (32%) and 29°C (20%), reflecting trader consensus on the expected daily high measured at the Retiro station. Key variables include the strength and timing of the northeasterly wind shift, which suppresses afternoon warming, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but recent ensemble spreads show limited probability for extremes above 32°C or below 28°C absent major forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$77Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on September 16, with maximum temperatures most likely near 29–30°C under northerly flow and clear skies following hotter conditions on the 14th and 15th. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 30°C (32%) and 29°C (20%), reflecting trader consensus on the expected daily high measured at the Retiro station. Key variables include the strength and timing of the northeasterly wind shift, which suppresses afternoon warming, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but recent ensemble spreads show limited probability for extremes above 32°C or below 28°C absent major forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$77Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on September 16, with maximum temperatures most likely near 29–30°C under northerly flow and clear skies following hotter conditions on the 14th and 15th. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 30°C (32%) and 29°C (20%), reflecting trader consensus on the expected daily high measured at the Retiro station. Key variables include the strength and timing of the northeasterly wind shift, which suppresses afternoon warming, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but recent ensemble spreads show limited probability for extremes above 32°C or below 28°C absent major forecast revisions before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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