**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a maximum temperature of 31–33°C for Guangzhou on September 16, 2026, with 32°C emerging as the most frequent central estimate amid scattered showers.** Persistent subtropical moisture, elevated humidity near 70%, and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, while light southerly winds offer limited advection of warmer air. Historical climatology places the September 16 average high at 31.9°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs show modest positive anomalies tempered by precipitation chances of 60–80%. Slight divergences among guidance—such as one ensemble favoring 31°C with heavier rain timing versus others holding 33°C under partly cloudy breaks—stem from uncertainties in convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 31–33°C, where small shifts in rainfall onset or cloud persistence could determine the exact daily peak. Updated short-range runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 16 сентября?
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
31°C 18%
30°C 10%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
28%
33°C
21%
34°C
10%
35°C или выше
9%
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
31°C 18%
30°C 10%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
28%
33°C
21%
34°C
10%
35°C или выше
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a maximum temperature of 31–33°C for Guangzhou on September 16, 2026, with 32°C emerging as the most frequent central estimate amid scattered showers.** Persistent subtropical moisture, elevated humidity near 70%, and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, while light southerly winds offer limited advection of warmer air. Historical climatology places the September 16 average high at 31.9°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs show modest positive anomalies tempered by precipitation chances of 60–80%. Slight divergences among guidance—such as one ensemble favoring 31°C with heavier rain timing versus others holding 33°C under partly cloudy breaks—stem from uncertainties in convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 31–33°C, where small shifts in rainfall onset or cloud persistence could determine the exact daily peak. Updated short-range runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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