Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's strong 67% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early-spring conditions in the region, where daily highs average near 14–15°C, and recent model consensus shows limited variability or intensification from high-pressure influences. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 17°C or falling below 13°C on this date—against the low likelihood of forecast shifts before resolution, though updated runs from agencies like MetService could introduce minor adjustments if wind patterns or cloud cover evolve overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 14 сентября?
16°C 67%
15°C 17%
17°C 11%
14°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$15,583 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,583 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
67%
17°C
11%
18°C
1%
19°C или выше
<1%
16°C 67%
15°C 17%
17°C 11%
14°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$15,583 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,583 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$573 Объем
<1%
10°C
$573 Объем
<1%
11°C
$79 Объем
<1%
12°C
$64 Объем
<1%
13°C
$382 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,308 Объем
5%
15°C
$2,284 Объем
17%
16°C
$7,386 Объем
67%
17°C
$1,708 Объем
11%
18°C
$875 Объем
1%
19°C или выше
$350 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's strong 67% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early-spring conditions in the region, where daily highs average near 14–15°C, and recent model consensus shows limited variability or intensification from high-pressure influences. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 17°C or falling below 13°C on this date—against the low likelihood of forecast shifts before resolution, though updated runs from agencies like MetService could introduce minor adjustments if wind patterns or cloud cover evolve overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$15,583Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's strong 67% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early-spring conditions in the region, where daily highs average near 14–15°C, and recent model consensus shows limited variability or intensification from high-pressure influences. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 17°C or falling below 13°C on this date—against the low likelihood of forecast shifts before resolution, though updated runs from agencies like MetService could introduce minor adjustments if wind patterns or cloud cover evolve overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,583Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's strong 67% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early-spring conditions in the region, where daily highs average near 14–15°C, and recent model consensus shows limited variability or intensification from high-pressure influences. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 17°C or falling below 13°C on this date—against the low likelihood of forecast shifts before resolution, though updated runs from agencies like MetService could introduce minor adjustments if wind patterns or cloud cover evolve overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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