Recent forecasts from China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international models show persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms expected across Shenzhen on September 13, which should cap daytime highs near 30–31°C by limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 31°C, as traders weigh the consensus suppressing peaks below the seasonal average of around 32°C. Key variables include steering winds that could shift storm timing, model differences in rainfall intensity, and any rapid changes in atmospheric moisture from the East Asian monsoon. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the CMA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 13 сентября?
31°C 29%
30°C 19%
32°C 16%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
29%
32°C
16%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C или выше
<1%
31°C 29%
30°C 19%
32°C 16%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$603 Объем
1%
27°C
$444 Объем
3%
28°C
$238 Объем
6%
29°C
$2,765 Объем
10%
30°C
$2,993 Объем
19%
31°C
$265 Объем
29%
32°C
$357 Объем
16%
33°C
$530 Объем
5%
34°C
$178 Объем
2%
35°C
$138 Объем
1%
36°C или выше
$215 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international models show persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms expected across Shenzhen on September 13, which should cap daytime highs near 30–31°C by limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 31°C, as traders weigh the consensus suppressing peaks below the seasonal average of around 32°C. Key variables include steering winds that could shift storm timing, model differences in rainfall intensity, and any rapid changes in atmospheric moisture from the East Asian monsoon. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the CMA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$8,726Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international models show persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms expected across Shenzhen on September 13, which should cap daytime highs near 30–31°C by limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 31°C, as traders weigh the consensus suppressing peaks below the seasonal average of around 32°C. Key variables include steering winds that could shift storm timing, model differences in rainfall intensity, and any rapid changes in atmospheric moisture from the East Asian monsoon. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the CMA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,726Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international models show persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms expected across Shenzhen on September 13, which should cap daytime highs near 30–31°C by limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 31°C, as traders weigh the consensus suppressing peaks below the seasonal average of around 32°C. Key variables include steering winds that could shift storm timing, model differences in rainfall intensity, and any rapid changes in atmospheric moisture from the East Asian monsoon. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the CMA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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