Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C as Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on September 12, backed by real-time observational data and model agreement from the Hong Kong Observatory. Clear skies and stable high-pressure patterns typical of mid-September promoted strong daytime solar heating, pushing readings to that level consistent with seasonal baselines around 30–31°C. Key resolution thresholds center on official station maxima, with minimal model spread reducing uncertainty. Unlikely but realistic challenges include post-hoc data corrections from the HKO or localized effects like brief cloud cover lowering peaks, though current evidence points to limited downside risk before final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 12 сентября?
33°C 99.9%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,386 Объем
$130,386 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
33°C 99.9%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,386 Объем
$130,386 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$374 Объем
<1%
26°C
$125 Объем
<1%
27°C
$608 Объем
<1%
28°C
$4,821 Объем
<1%
29°C
$7,745 Объем
<1%
30°C
$16,310 Объем
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Объем
<1%
32°C
$26,674 Объем
<1%
33°C
$28,094 Объем
100%
34°C
$7,215 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$1,466 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C as Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on September 12, backed by real-time observational data and model agreement from the Hong Kong Observatory. Clear skies and stable high-pressure patterns typical of mid-September promoted strong daytime solar heating, pushing readings to that level consistent with seasonal baselines around 30–31°C. Key resolution thresholds center on official station maxima, with minimal model spread reducing uncertainty. Unlikely but realistic challenges include post-hoc data corrections from the HKO or localized effects like brief cloud cover lowering peaks, though current evidence points to limited downside risk before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$130,386Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C as Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on September 12, backed by real-time observational data and model agreement from the Hong Kong Observatory. Clear skies and stable high-pressure patterns typical of mid-September promoted strong daytime solar heating, pushing readings to that level consistent with seasonal baselines around 30–31°C. Key resolution thresholds center on official station maxima, with minimal model spread reducing uncertainty. Unlikely but realistic challenges include post-hoc data corrections from the HKO or localized effects like brief cloud cover lowering peaks, though current evidence points to limited downside risk before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$130,386Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C as Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on September 12, backed by real-time observational data and model agreement from the Hong Kong Observatory. Clear skies and stable high-pressure patterns typical of mid-September promoted strong daytime solar heating, pushing readings to that level consistent with seasonal baselines around 30–31°C. Key resolution thresholds center on official station maxima, with minimal model spread reducing uncertainty. Unlikely but realistic challenges include post-hoc data corrections from the HKO or localized effects like brief cloud cover lowering peaks, though current evidence points to limited downside risk before final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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