Forecast models and observational data position 32–33°C as the most likely peak temperatures for Guangzhou on September 13, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.2°C for the date. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 65–80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity—driven by regional moisture and weak steering flows—have limited daytime heating and surface insolation, keeping maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–33°C, with limited upward bias from any clear-sky periods. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, as deviations to 34°C or higher would require stronger subsidence or reduced precipitation that current guidance does not support. Official updates from regional meteorological services later today will refine the final observed maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 13 сентября?
33°C 54%
32°C 44%
34°C 13%
35°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$45,619 Объем
НОВОЕ
$45,619 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
39%
33°C
49%
34°C
13%
35°C
1%
36°C или выше
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 44%
34°C 13%
35°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$45,619 Объем
НОВОЕ
$45,619 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$103 Объем
<1%
27°C
$3,185 Объем
<1%
28°C
$2,845 Объем
<1%
29°C
$4,024 Объем
<1%
30°C
$6,945 Объем
<1%
31°C
$9,067 Объем
<1%
32°C
$5,362 Объем
39%
33°C
$2,563 Объем
49%
34°C
$7,315 Объем
13%
35°C
$3,846 Объем
1%
36°C или выше
$590 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data position 32–33°C as the most likely peak temperatures for Guangzhou on September 13, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.2°C for the date. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 65–80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity—driven by regional moisture and weak steering flows—have limited daytime heating and surface insolation, keeping maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–33°C, with limited upward bias from any clear-sky periods. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, as deviations to 34°C or higher would require stronger subsidence or reduced precipitation that current guidance does not support. Official updates from regional meteorological services later today will refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$45,619Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data position 32–33°C as the most likely peak temperatures for Guangzhou on September 13, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.2°C for the date. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 65–80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity—driven by regional moisture and weak steering flows—have limited daytime heating and surface insolation, keeping maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–33°C, with limited upward bias from any clear-sky periods. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, as deviations to 34°C or higher would require stronger subsidence or reduced precipitation that current guidance does not support. Official updates from regional meteorological services later today will refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$45,619Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data position 32–33°C as the most likely peak temperatures for Guangzhou on September 13, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.2°C for the date. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 65–80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity—driven by regional moisture and weak steering flows—have limited daytime heating and surface insolation, keeping maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–33°C, with limited upward bias from any clear-sky periods. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, as deviations to 34°C or higher would require stronger subsidence or reduced precipitation that current guidance does not support. Official updates from regional meteorological services later today will refine the final observed maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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