Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C high for Tokyo on September 13, reflecting JMA guidance of 26°C alongside ensemble and GFS outputs that allow modest afternoon warming to 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with early rain tapering to partly cloudy conditions. Light northerly winds shifting southerly, combined with high humidity near 80–90% and limited insolation, constrain peak temperatures close to the late-summer climatological normal of 27.5°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing creates the narrow edge for 27°C, while the absence of strong frontal or typhoon influences keeps probabilities tightly clustered and sensitive to the next updated forecast cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 13 сентября?
27°C 36%
26°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$19,614 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,614 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
32%
27°C
36%
28°C
16%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$19,614 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,614 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$1,377 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,418 Объем
<1%
23°C
$701 Объем
1%
24°C
$1,484 Объем
3%
25°C
$2,097 Объем
13%
26°C
$3,483 Объем
32%
27°C
$3,319 Объем
36%
28°C
$2,404 Объем
16%
29°C
$954 Объем
5%
30°C
$1,010 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$1,483 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C high for Tokyo on September 13, reflecting JMA guidance of 26°C alongside ensemble and GFS outputs that allow modest afternoon warming to 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with early rain tapering to partly cloudy conditions. Light northerly winds shifting southerly, combined with high humidity near 80–90% and limited insolation, constrain peak temperatures close to the late-summer climatological normal of 27.5°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing creates the narrow edge for 27°C, while the absence of strong frontal or typhoon influences keeps probabilities tightly clustered and sensitive to the next updated forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$19,614Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C high for Tokyo on September 13, reflecting JMA guidance of 26°C alongside ensemble and GFS outputs that allow modest afternoon warming to 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with early rain tapering to partly cloudy conditions. Light northerly winds shifting southerly, combined with high humidity near 80–90% and limited insolation, constrain peak temperatures close to the late-summer climatological normal of 27.5°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing creates the narrow edge for 27°C, while the absence of strong frontal or typhoon influences keeps probabilities tightly clustered and sensitive to the next updated forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,614Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C high for Tokyo on September 13, reflecting JMA guidance of 26°C alongside ensemble and GFS outputs that allow modest afternoon warming to 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with early rain tapering to partly cloudy conditions. Light northerly winds shifting southerly, combined with high humidity near 80–90% and limited insolation, constrain peak temperatures close to the late-summer climatological normal of 27.5°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing creates the narrow edge for 27°C, while the absence of strong frontal or typhoon influences keeps probabilities tightly clustered and sensitive to the next updated forecast cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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