**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, point to a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 13 near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain possible overnight.** This aligns with trader emphasis on 20°C (78% implied probability) as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on a modest warming from recent cooler nights (17.7–19.8°C lows on September 10–12). September climatology supports this positioning, with typical minimums around 19°C but elevated by lingering warmth and light southerly flow. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C; updated JMA and ensemble runs expected overnight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 13 сентября?
20°C 88%
19°C 18%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
14%
20°C
78%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C или выше
<1%
20°C 88%
19°C 18%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$158 Объем
<1%
18°C
$90 Объем
<1%
19°C
$389 Объем
14%
20°C
$572 Объем
78%
21°C
$2,914 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,796 Объем
<1%
23°C
$867 Объем
1%
24°C
$232 Объем
<1%
25°C
$195 Объем
<1%
26°C
$85 Объем
<1%
27°C или выше
$138 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, point to a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 13 near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain possible overnight.** This aligns with trader emphasis on 20°C (78% implied probability) as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on a modest warming from recent cooler nights (17.7–19.8°C lows on September 10–12). September climatology supports this positioning, with typical minimums around 19°C but elevated by lingering warmth and light southerly flow. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C; updated JMA and ensemble runs expected overnight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$7,438Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, point to a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 13 near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain possible overnight.** This aligns with trader emphasis on 20°C (78% implied probability) as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on a modest warming from recent cooler nights (17.7–19.8°C lows on September 10–12). September climatology supports this positioning, with typical minimums around 19°C but elevated by lingering warmth and light southerly flow. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C; updated JMA and ensemble runs expected overnight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,438Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, point to a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 13 near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain possible overnight.** This aligns with trader emphasis on 20°C (78% implied probability) as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on a modest warming from recent cooler nights (17.7–19.8°C lows on September 10–12). September climatology supports this positioning, with typical minimums around 19°C but elevated by lingering warmth and light southerly flow. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C; updated JMA and ensemble runs expected overnight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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