Trader consensus on Cape Town's September 12 maximum temperature shows tight clustering around 20–22°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic High, which modulates onshore flow and marine layer depth, alongside potential berg wind episodes that enhance daytime heating through adiabatic compression. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs diverge on the timing of a weak trough passage, producing 1–2°C spreads in predicted maxima. Historical September climatology places average highs near 19°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and upper-level ridging support a modest warm bias. New SAWS and global model updates expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 12 сентября?
21°C 31%
20°C 25%
22°C 19%
23°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
7%
19°C
14%
20°C
25%
21°C
31%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C или выше
4%
21°C 31%
20°C 25%
22°C 19%
23°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
17°C
$95 Объем
5%
18°C
$0 Объем
7%
19°C
$0 Объем
14%
20°C
$39 Объем
25%
21°C
$123 Объем
31%
22°C
$77 Объем
19%
23°C
$0 Объем
18%
24°C
$0 Объем
7%
25°C
$0 Объем
7%
26°C или выше
$0 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Cape Town's September 12 maximum temperature shows tight clustering around 20–22°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic High, which modulates onshore flow and marine layer depth, alongside potential berg wind episodes that enhance daytime heating through adiabatic compression. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs diverge on the timing of a weak trough passage, producing 1–2°C spreads in predicted maxima. Historical September climatology places average highs near 19°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and upper-level ridging support a modest warm bias. New SAWS and global model updates expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$334Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Cape Town's September 12 maximum temperature shows tight clustering around 20–22°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic High, which modulates onshore flow and marine layer depth, alongside potential berg wind episodes that enhance daytime heating through adiabatic compression. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs diverge on the timing of a weak trough passage, producing 1–2°C spreads in predicted maxima. Historical September climatology places average highs near 19°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and upper-level ridging support a modest warm bias. New SAWS and global model updates expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$334Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Cape Town's September 12 maximum temperature shows tight clustering around 20–22°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic High, which modulates onshore flow and marine layer depth, alongside potential berg wind episodes that enhance daytime heating through adiabatic compression. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs diverge on the timing of a weak trough passage, producing 1–2°C spreads in predicted maxima. Historical September climatology places average highs near 19°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and upper-level ridging support a modest warm bias. New SAWS and global model updates expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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