Recent cold air intrusion brought rain and a sharp cooldown across Beijing on September 7–8, with daytime highs falling to around 22°C before skies cleared. Post-frontal high pressure and northerly flow are now promoting gradual warming under mostly sunny conditions, with official guidance and model consensus pointing to a September 10 maximum near 28–30°C. Historical early-September averages hover near 27–28°C, and the current setup lacks strong southerly advection or subsidence that would push readings notably higher. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome aligns with the latest forecast runs showing peak potential under these stable, clear-air conditions, while lower probabilities reflect residual model spread and typical diurnal variability. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and short-range model outputs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 10 сентября?
30°C 45%
29°C 30%
28°C 11%
31°C 11%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
11%
29°C
30%
30°C
45%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C или выше
1%
30°C 45%
29°C 30%
28°C 11%
31°C 11%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
11%
29°C
30%
30°C
45%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air intrusion brought rain and a sharp cooldown across Beijing on September 7–8, with daytime highs falling to around 22°C before skies cleared. Post-frontal high pressure and northerly flow are now promoting gradual warming under mostly sunny conditions, with official guidance and model consensus pointing to a September 10 maximum near 28–30°C. Historical early-September averages hover near 27–28°C, and the current setup lacks strong southerly advection or subsidence that would push readings notably higher. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome aligns with the latest forecast runs showing peak potential under these stable, clear-air conditions, while lower probabilities reflect residual model spread and typical diurnal variability. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and short-range model outputs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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