Ongoing regional transmission of Bundibugyo virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, with over 4,800 confirmed cases and roughly 2,200 deaths reported as of mid-August 2026, has not produced the sustained international chains required for a pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC emphasize that Ebola spreads only through direct contact with bodily fluids, not airborne routes, and global risk remains low despite the Public Health Emergency of International Concern declaration. Rapid contact tracing, isolation of cases, and border measures have kept the outbreak largely confined to eastern DRC provinces, aligning with historical patterns where prior Ebola epidemics stayed regional. Trader consensus at 96.3% probability of no 2026 pandemic reflects this contained trajectory, though further cross-continental seeding or unexpected changes in transmission efficiency could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% вероятность
$691,779 Объем
$691,779 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
4% вероятность
$691,779 Объем
$691,779 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing regional transmission of Bundibugyo virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, with over 4,800 confirmed cases and roughly 2,200 deaths reported as of mid-August 2026, has not produced the sustained international chains required for a pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC emphasize that Ebola spreads only through direct contact with bodily fluids, not airborne routes, and global risk remains low despite the Public Health Emergency of International Concern declaration. Rapid contact tracing, isolation of cases, and border measures have kept the outbreak largely confined to eastern DRC provinces, aligning with historical patterns where prior Ebola epidemics stayed regional. Trader consensus at 96.3% probability of no 2026 pandemic reflects this contained trajectory, though further cross-continental seeding or unexpected changes in transmission efficiency could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Объем
$691,779Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing regional transmission of Bundibugyo virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, with over 4,800 confirmed cases and roughly 2,200 deaths reported as of mid-August 2026, has not produced the sustained international chains required for a pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC emphasize that Ebola spreads only through direct contact with bodily fluids, not airborne routes, and global risk remains low despite the Public Health Emergency of International Concern declaration. Rapid contact tracing, isolation of cases, and border measures have kept the outbreak largely confined to eastern DRC provinces, aligning with historical patterns where prior Ebola epidemics stayed regional. Trader consensus at 96.3% probability of no 2026 pandemic reflects this contained trajectory, though further cross-continental seeding or unexpected changes in transmission efficiency could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$691,779Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional transmission of Bundibugyo virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, with over 4,800 confirmed cases and roughly 2,200 deaths reported as of mid-August 2026, has not produced the sustained international chains required for a pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC emphasize that Ebola spreads only through direct contact with bodily fluids, not airborne routes, and global risk remains low despite the Public Health Emergency of International Concern declaration. Rapid contact tracing, isolation of cases, and border measures have kept the outbreak largely confined to eastern DRC provinces, aligning with historical patterns where prior Ebola epidemics stayed regional. Trader consensus at 96.3% probability of no 2026 pandemic reflects this contained trajectory, though further cross-continental seeding or unexpected changes in transmission efficiency could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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