Traders have assigned a 99.6% implied probability to a 27°C high in Chengdu on September 9, aligning with the long-term climatological average maximum for that date and initial seasonal outlooks from regional models. Persistent northeasterly flow and typical late-summer insolation patterns under partly cloudy skies have historically supported this threshold, with surface observations often reaching it absent strong synoptic forcing. Recent cold-air advection and widespread precipitation, however, have driven forecast highs down to 23–25°C according to updated guidance, creating a narrow window for revision if observational networks record a brief afternoon spike above the rain-cooled boundary layer. Market resolution hinges on official maximum readings, leaving limited upside for alternative outcomes unless verification data diverges sharply from ensemble consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 9 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 9 сентября?
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$110,806 Объем
НОВОЕ
$110,806 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$110,806 Объем
НОВОЕ
$110,806 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$8,872 Объем
<1%
22°C
$7,654 Объем
<1%
23°C
$5,209 Объем
<1%
24°C
$8,888 Объем
<1%
25°C
$16,307 Объем
<1%
26°C
$27,586 Объем
<1%
27°C
$20,153 Объем
100%
28°C
$7,184 Объем
1%
29°C
$5,834 Объем
<1%
30°C
$2,086 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$1,032 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have assigned a 99.6% implied probability to a 27°C high in Chengdu on September 9, aligning with the long-term climatological average maximum for that date and initial seasonal outlooks from regional models. Persistent northeasterly flow and typical late-summer insolation patterns under partly cloudy skies have historically supported this threshold, with surface observations often reaching it absent strong synoptic forcing. Recent cold-air advection and widespread precipitation, however, have driven forecast highs down to 23–25°C according to updated guidance, creating a narrow window for revision if observational networks record a brief afternoon spike above the rain-cooled boundary layer. Market resolution hinges on official maximum readings, leaving limited upside for alternative outcomes unless verification data diverges sharply from ensemble consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$110,806Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have assigned a 99.6% implied probability to a 27°C high in Chengdu on September 9, aligning with the long-term climatological average maximum for that date and initial seasonal outlooks from regional models. Persistent northeasterly flow and typical late-summer insolation patterns under partly cloudy skies have historically supported this threshold, with surface observations often reaching it absent strong synoptic forcing. Recent cold-air advection and widespread precipitation, however, have driven forecast highs down to 23–25°C according to updated guidance, creating a narrow window for revision if observational networks record a brief afternoon spike above the rain-cooled boundary layer. Market resolution hinges on official maximum readings, leaving limited upside for alternative outcomes unless verification data diverges sharply from ensemble consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$110,806Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders have assigned a 99.6% implied probability to a 27°C high in Chengdu on September 9, aligning with the long-term climatological average maximum for that date and initial seasonal outlooks from regional models. Persistent northeasterly flow and typical late-summer insolation patterns under partly cloudy skies have historically supported this threshold, with surface observations often reaching it absent strong synoptic forcing. Recent cold-air advection and widespread precipitation, however, have driven forecast highs down to 23–25°C according to updated guidance, creating a narrow window for revision if observational networks record a brief afternoon spike above the rain-cooled boundary layer. Market resolution hinges on official maximum readings, leaving limited upside for alternative outcomes unless verification data diverges sharply from ensemble consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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