Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, as sustained north to northeast winds of 4–5 promoted drier air and clearer skies conducive to overnight radiative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory forecast a daily minimum near 25°C within a 25–31°C range under partly cloudy conditions transitioning to mostly fine, aligning with seasonal September norms where average minima hover around 26°C but can dip lower with monsoon influence. Recent observations of daytime maxima near 31–32°C and falling humidity below 60% reinforced expectations of efficient nocturnal heat loss without significant cloud interference. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% on 25°C reflect this model consensus, though minor shifts in wind speed, unexpected cloud cover, or final HKO “Absolute Daily Min” verification could still alter the precise reading within a narrow band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 11 сентября?
25°C 99.8%
23°C 2.0%
27°C 1.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
$37,927 Объем
$37,927 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
25°C 99.8%
23°C 2.0%
27°C 1.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
$37,927 Объем
$37,927 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$1,045 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Объем
<1%
23°C
$2,591 Объем
2%
24°C
$5,713 Объем
<1%
25°C
$9,831 Объем
100%
26°C
$5,533 Объем
<1%
27°C
$8,795 Объем
1%
28°C
$3,101 Объем
<1%
29°C
$86 Объем
<1%
30°C
$96 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$86 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, as sustained north to northeast winds of 4–5 promoted drier air and clearer skies conducive to overnight radiative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory forecast a daily minimum near 25°C within a 25–31°C range under partly cloudy conditions transitioning to mostly fine, aligning with seasonal September norms where average minima hover around 26°C but can dip lower with monsoon influence. Recent observations of daytime maxima near 31–32°C and falling humidity below 60% reinforced expectations of efficient nocturnal heat loss without significant cloud interference. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% on 25°C reflect this model consensus, though minor shifts in wind speed, unexpected cloud cover, or final HKO “Absolute Daily Min” verification could still alter the precise reading within a narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$37,927Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, as sustained north to northeast winds of 4–5 promoted drier air and clearer skies conducive to overnight radiative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory forecast a daily minimum near 25°C within a 25–31°C range under partly cloudy conditions transitioning to mostly fine, aligning with seasonal September norms where average minima hover around 26°C but can dip lower with monsoon influence. Recent observations of daytime maxima near 31–32°C and falling humidity below 60% reinforced expectations of efficient nocturnal heat loss without significant cloud interference. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% on 25°C reflect this model consensus, though minor shifts in wind speed, unexpected cloud cover, or final HKO “Absolute Daily Min” verification could still alter the precise reading within a narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$37,927Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, as sustained north to northeast winds of 4–5 promoted drier air and clearer skies conducive to overnight radiative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory forecast a daily minimum near 25°C within a 25–31°C range under partly cloudy conditions transitioning to mostly fine, aligning with seasonal September norms where average minima hover around 26°C but can dip lower with monsoon influence. Recent observations of daytime maxima near 31–32°C and falling humidity below 60% reinforced expectations of efficient nocturnal heat loss without significant cloud interference. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% on 25°C reflect this model consensus, though minor shifts in wind speed, unexpected cloud cover, or final HKO “Absolute Daily Min” verification could still alter the precise reading within a narrow band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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