**Latest forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability for 19°C.** Persistent high humidity (70–90%), light winds under 3 m/s, and extensive cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with typical early-fall subtropical conditions in the region where September minima average around 21–22°C but can dip lower under stable high-pressure influence. Multiple sources, including Yr.no and PredictWind, project overnight lows of 20–23°C with daytime highs reaching 26–29°C, while historical patterns show gradual seasonal decline from summer peaks. Traders appear to weight the consensus from official monitoring stations and recent model runs favoring the lower end of the range, with limited volatility expected absent major frontal passage. Official resolution will depend on the precise station reading and any late-day adjustments in data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чунцине 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чунцине 11 сентября?
19°C 99%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,040 Объем
$1,040 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Да
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Нет
19°C 99%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,040 Объем
$1,040 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$51 Объем
Нет
17°C
$50 Объем
Нет
18°C
$169 Объем
Нет
19°C
$241 Объем
Да
20°C
$233 Объем
Нет
21°C
$114 Объем
Нет
22°C
$40 Объем
Нет
23°C
$35 Объем
Нет
24°C
$35 Объем
Нет
25°C
$35 Объем
Нет
26°C или выше
$35 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability for 19°C.**
Persistent high humidity (70–90%), light winds under 3 m/s, and extensive cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with typical early-fall subtropical conditions in the region where September minima average around 21–22°C but can dip lower under stable high-pressure influence. Multiple sources, including Yr.no and PredictWind, project overnight lows of 20–23°C with daytime highs reaching 26–29°C, while historical patterns show gradual seasonal decline from summer peaks. Traders appear to weight the consensus from official monitoring stations and recent model runs favoring the lower end of the range, with limited volatility expected absent major frontal passage. Official resolution will depend on the precise station reading and any late-day adjustments in data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,040Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability for 19°C.**
Persistent high humidity (70–90%), light winds under 3 m/s, and extensive cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with typical early-fall subtropical conditions in the region where September minima average around 21–22°C but can dip lower under stable high-pressure influence. Multiple sources, including Yr.no and PredictWind, project overnight lows of 20–23°C with daytime highs reaching 26–29°C, while historical patterns show gradual seasonal decline from summer peaks. Traders appear to weight the consensus from official monitoring stations and recent model runs favoring the lower end of the range, with limited volatility expected absent major frontal passage. Official resolution will depend on the precise station reading and any late-day adjustments in data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,040Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Latest forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability for 19°C.** Persistent high humidity (70–90%), light winds under 3 m/s, and extensive cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with typical early-fall subtropical conditions in the region where September minima average around 21–22°C but can dip lower under stable high-pressure influence. Multiple sources, including Yr.no and PredictWind, project overnight lows of 20–23°C with daytime highs reaching 26–29°C, while historical patterns show gradual seasonal decline from summer peaks. Traders appear to weight the consensus from official monitoring stations and recent model runs favoring the lower end of the range, with limited volatility expected absent major frontal passage. Official resolution will depend on the precise station reading and any late-day adjustments in data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы