Latest numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and supporting models indicate mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 13 with light westerly flow and high pressure supporting an afternoon peak near 26 °C. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 25–27 °C, keeping those three bins dominant in trader pricing while reducing odds for 24 °C or below. The forecast high sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 22 °C, reflecting a mild late-summer airmass with limited cloud cover and modest boundary-layer mixing. No significant model trends or observational updates have emerged in the past 24 hours to shift the central tendency, leaving the market-implied distribution aligned with current deterministic and ensemble consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 13 сентября?
26°C 41%
25°C 26%
27°C 19%
24°C 9%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
26%
26°C
41%
27°C
19%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 26%
27°C 19%
24°C 9%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
26%
26°C
41%
27°C
19%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and supporting models indicate mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 13 with light westerly flow and high pressure supporting an afternoon peak near 26 °C. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 25–27 °C, keeping those three bins dominant in trader pricing while reducing odds for 24 °C or below. The forecast high sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 22 °C, reflecting a mild late-summer airmass with limited cloud cover and modest boundary-layer mixing. No significant model trends or observational updates have emerged in the past 24 hours to shift the central tendency, leaving the market-implied distribution aligned with current deterministic and ensemble consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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